Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/508) | 76% (224/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/508) | 76% (224/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (138/193) | 65% (52/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Cojocaru V. (Own goal),
- 28', Sotiriou K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Blanik D. ↓, Antonin ↑,
- 58', Remacle M. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 59', Bieganski J. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
- 59', Greenwood S. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 59', Angielski K. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Pozo J. ⚽,
- 72', Loncar D. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 73', Gustafson S. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 87', Agger M. ↓, Lawa N. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Pozo J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
45.1% | Draw
26.9% | Korona Kielce
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.81) |
3.47 ↑
(3.4) |
3.35 ↓
(3.65) |
7%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
- Pogoń Szczecin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Korona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pogoń Szczecin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Acosta K.
(Red Card)
Ali H.
(Red Card)
Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
Wahlqvist L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce were as follows:
13.09.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
09.12.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.07.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:0
17.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
16.09.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
