Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.32 | 1.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
77% (220/285) | 79% (296/377) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.32 | 1.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.93 | 1.12 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
77% (220/285) | 79% (296/377) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (27/53) | 29% (12/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (79/115) | 60% (72/120) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (7/38) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.57 | 1.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
10 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.12 | 2.93 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.12 | 1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Greenwood S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smolinski K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 56', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 56', Bieganski J. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
- 65', Nono ↓, Popov V. ↑,
- 69', Antonin ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 70', Blanik D. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 70', Greenwood S. ↓, Molnar R. ↑,
- 76', Remacle M. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
- 76', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 87', Koutris L. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 89', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce 41.9% | Draw 27.1% | Pogoń Szczecin 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (2.48) |
3.48 ↑ (3.2) |
3.01 ↑ (2.72) |
6.1% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
- Korona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Korona could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J.
(Injury)
Ulvestad F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Korona Kielce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
09.12.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.07.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:0
17.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
16.09.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
18.03.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
0:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1