Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/285) | 79% (296/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/285) | 79% (296/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 60% (72/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Greenwood S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smolinski K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 56', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 56', Bieganski J. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
- 65', Nono ↓, Popov V. ↑,
- 69', Antonin ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 70', Blanik D. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 70', Greenwood S. ↓, Molnar R. ↑,
- 76', Remacle M. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
- 76', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 87', Koutris L. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 89', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
41.9% | Draw
27.1% | Pogoń Szczecin
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.48) |
3.48 ↑
(3.2) |
3.01 ↑
(2.72) |
6.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 25%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Korona (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Korona (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
- Korona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Korona could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J.
(Injury)
Ulvestad F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Korona Kielce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
09.12.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.07.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:0
17.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
16.09.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
18.03.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
0:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
