Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (332/384) | 73% (155/212) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (332/384) | 73% (155/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 60% (30/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (112/136) | 64% (56/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Victor Sa ⚽, Petrov S. (A),
- 22', Olaza L. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Dzyuba A. (Pen),
- 25', Savichev K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 68', Perrin G. ↓, Joao Batxi ↑,
- 72', Maradishvili K. 🟨,
- 74', Bistrovic K. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Krivtsov N. ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
- 78', Loncar S. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 78', Bistrovic K. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 79', Sevikyan E. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
- 79', Douglas Augusto ↓, Mukailov K. ↑,
- 80', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 89', Diego Costa 🟥,
- 89', Victor Sa ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
70.7% | Draw
18.1% | Akron Tolyatti
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.36) |
5.29 ↑
(4.6) |
8.47 ↑
(7.8) |
4.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Krasnodar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Akron's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Krasnodar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Krasnodar is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Krasnodar: Olaza L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Akron: Benchimol
(Injury)
Khosonov K.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Akron Tolyatti?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Krasnodar?
Akron Tolyatti has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
05.04.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:0
21.09.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Krasnodar
2:5
03.05.2023
Krasnodar
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:0
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
