Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (385/489) | 66% (216/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (385/489) | 66% (216/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (55/88) | 30% (25/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (141/208) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', 2 - 0, Gil B. ⚽, Titkov N. (A),
- 23', Oleynikov I. ↓, Lepskii I. ↑,
- 23', Babkin S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Beveev M. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
- 46', Pryakhin S. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 52', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 61', Petrov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
- 62', Titkov N. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
- 67', Lepskii I. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
- 67', Akhmetov I. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 71', Khubulov V. 🟨,
- 77', Banjac M. 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 81', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 82', Rasskazov N. ↓, Lysov A. ↑,
- 90+5', Vityugov M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
62.6% | Draw
24.1% | Krylya Sovetov
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika Kaliningrad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2.02) |
3.95 ↑
(3.1) |
7.18 ↑
(3.85) |
4.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Baltika (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Krylya Sovetov (5.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Krylya Sovetov (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Krylya Sovetov (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Baltika Kaliningrad will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Baltika (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Krylya Sovetov (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2.
- Baltika is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krylya Sovetov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Baltika: Manelov I.
(Red Card)
Utkin D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Babkin S.
(Muscle Injury)
Galdames T.
(Ankle Injury)
Oroz D.
(Injury)
Rakov V.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Baltika: Gil B.
(Inactive)
Petrov M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Baltika will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Krylya Sovetov?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
09.08.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:1
20.04.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
19.09.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:2
27.08.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
26.07.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:3
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:16 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Zenit | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Baltika | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Pari NN | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Krylya Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
