KuPS Kuopio vs Drita Gjilan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 18
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 19, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 18
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.90
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
87% (607/697)77% (275/358)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.20
Total shots
612
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
87% (607/697)77% (275/358)
Long passes
59% (36/61)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
68% (126/184)63% (51/81)
Crosses
13% (2/15)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.04
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1610
Tackles
61% (11/18)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4942
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.201.03
Goals prevented
0.200.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Tusha V. , Sheji B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Hamalainen T. , Antwi C. ,
  • 59', Pasanen S. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 59', Toure M. , Parzyszek P. ,
  • 66', Balaj L. , Soumahoro M. ,
  • 70', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 71', Arifi D. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Parzyszek P. , Voutilainen J. (A),
  • 80', 1 - 1, Dabiqaj A. , Sheji B. (A),
  • 83', Pennanen P. 🟨,
  • 89', Ajzeraj A. , Broja R. ,
  • 89', Manaj A. , Abazaj K. ,
  • 90', Pennanen P. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 90+2', Cisse I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
55.8%
Draw
24.6%
Drita Gjilan
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 26.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 26.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.
  • Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drita Gjilan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KuPS Kuopio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drita Gjilan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.95)
    3.83
    (3.51)
    4.82
    (3.68)
    5.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Drita (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - KuPS (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Drita (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Drita (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.84%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 12 - 75%). Drita (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, KuPS is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Heinonen A. (Inactive) Konate P. (Inactive) Lotjonen A. (Red Card) Ricardo P. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    27.09.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 0:4
    23.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - SJK 3:2
    20.09.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 2:4
    10.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro 2:0
    Latest results of Drita Gjilan
    28.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Dukagjini 3:1
    25.09.2025 Ballkani - Drita Gjilan 2:0
    17.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Drenica 0:1
    14.09.2025 Prishtina - Drita Gjilan 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2