KuPS Kuopio vs Drita Gjilan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1

02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tammelan Stadion (Tampere).

Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 19, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.90
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
87% (607/697)	77% (275/358)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	1.20
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
3	10
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
12	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
87% (607/697)	77% (275/358)
Long passes
59% (36/61)	35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
68% (126/184)	63% (51/81)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	1.04
Throw-ins
20	18
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
61% (11/18)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
49	42
Clearances
18	29
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.20	1.03
Goals prevented
0.20	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Tusha V. ↓, Sheji B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Hamalainen T. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
59', Pasanen S. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
59', Toure M. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
66', Balaj L. ↓, Soumahoro M. ↑,
70', Arifi D. 🟨,
71', Arifi D. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Voutilainen J. (A),
80', 1 - 1, Dabiqaj A. ⚽, Sheji B. (A),
83', Pennanen P. 🟨,
89', Ajzeraj A. ↓, Broja R. ↑,
89', Manaj A. ↓, Abazaj K. ↑,
90', Pennanen P. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
90+2', Cisse I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

KuPS Kuopio
55.8%

Draw
24.6%

Drita Gjilan
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drita Gjilan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KuPS Kuopio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drita Gjilan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.95)	3.91 ↑ (3.51)	5.11 ↑ (3.68)	5.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan?

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, KuPS is a strong favorite.
There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Heinonen A. (Inactive) Konate P. (Inactive) Lotjonen A. (Red Card) Ricardo P. (Inactive)
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Latest results of KuPS Kuopio

27.09.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 0:4 ✺

23.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - SJK 3:2 ✺

20.09.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 1:0 ✺

14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 2:4 ✺

10.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Drita Gjilan

28.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Dukagjini 3:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Ballkani - Drita Gjilan 2:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Prishtina e Re 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Drenica 0:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Prishtina - Drita Gjilan 2:2 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zrinjski	1	1	0	0	5:0	5	3
2	AEK Larnaca	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
6	Celje	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Rakow	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
11	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Mainz	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
14	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
16	Noah	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
17	Drita	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	KuPS	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Hacken	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Shelbourne	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
22	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
23	Rijeka	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
24	Omonia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
25	Legia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
26	Hamrun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
27	AEK Athens FC	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
28	Sigma Olomouc	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
29	Dyn. Kyiv	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	Shkendija	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Univ. Craiova	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	SK Rapid	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Breidablik	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
35	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
36	Lincoln Red Imps	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

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