Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/464) | 61% (122/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/464) | 61% (122/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (134/178) | 54% (52/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/26) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),
- 20', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mae H. 🟨,
- 53', Takeda S. 🟨,
- 56', Okugawa M. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 62', Okamura D. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 67', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 74', Rafael Elias (Pen),
- 75', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 75', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 75', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 85', Nakano R. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 85', Takeda S. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 89', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 90+1', Numata T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Hara T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
26.5% | Draw
28.3% | Machida Zelvia
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.92) |
3.33 ↓
(3.47) |
2.12 ↓
(2.32) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Machida Zelvia?
Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kyoto Sanga?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
06.08.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
07.05.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
30.11.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
06.05.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Machida Zelvia
0:3
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
