Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/464) | 61% (122/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/464) | 61% (122/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (134/178) | 54% (52/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/26) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),
- 20', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mae H. 🟨,
- 53', Takeda S. 🟨,
- 56', Okugawa M. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 62', Okamura D. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 67', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 74', Rafael Elias (Pen),
- 75', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 75', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 75', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 85', Nakano R. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 85', Takeda S. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 89', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 90+1', Numata T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Hara T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
26.5% | Draw
28.3% | Machida Zelvia
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↑
(2.92) |
3.33 ↓
(3.47) |
2.12 ↓
(2.32) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Machida Zelvia?
Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kyoto Sanga?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
06.08.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
07.05.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
30.11.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
06.05.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Machida Zelvia
0:3
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
