Result
1:2
07/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 0 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
0 | 0 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
0 | 0 |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
0 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
0 | 0 |
Duels won |
---|
0 | 0 |
Clearances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Interceptions |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Hara T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 33', Fukuda S. 🟨,
- 35', Nakayama Y. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Okamura D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sato K. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 55', Joao Pedro ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
- 64', Murilo de Souza ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
- 65', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
- 66', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Hiraga S. ⚽, Okugawa M. (A),
- 73', Nishimura T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 73', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 73', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 75', Shoji G. 🟨,
- 81', Hirato T. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia 46% | Draw 29.7% | Kyoto Sanga 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.97) |
3.16 ↓ (3.38) |
3.88 ↓ (3.89) |
6.3% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Kyoto will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 3 - 60%). Kyoto (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
- Machida Zelvia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kyoto Sanga?
Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Machida Zelvia?
Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
30.11.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
06.05.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Machida Zelvia
0:3
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League