Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga
Result
2:1
16/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.46
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
71% (251/356)76% (341/447)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.23
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1712
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
128
Passes
71% (251/356)76% (341/447)
Long passes
32% (23/72)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
47% (50/106)60% (75/126)
Crosses
31% (4/13)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.54
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (4/8)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5245
Clearances Total
4032
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.230.98
Goals prevented
0.23-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Matsuo Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yonemoto T. , Fukuoka S. ,
  • 46', Sato K. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 54', Joao Pedro , Hirato T. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias , Sugai H. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 1, Watanabe R. , Gustafson S. (A),
  • 62', Kaneko T. , Haraguchi G. ,
  • 62', Watanabe R. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 63', Okugawa M. , Marco Tulio ,
  • 75', Hara T. , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 75', Matsuo Y. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 75', Matheus Savio , Sekine T. ,
  • 87', Sugai H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
41.9%
Draw
29.7%
Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 30.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.15)
    3.16
    (3.25)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    6.2%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
    • Recent matches Urawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kyoto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Urawa have a series of guest games.
    • Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0
    15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 3:0
    15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League