Result
2:1
16/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (251/356) | 76% (341/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (251/356) | 76% (341/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/72) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (50/106) | 60% (75/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.54 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Matsuo Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- 46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 54', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
- 61', 2 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
- 62', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 62', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 63', Okugawa M. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
- 75', Hara T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
- 75', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
- 75', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 87', Sugai H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
41.9% | Draw
29.7% | Kyoto Sanga
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.15) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
6.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Kyoto (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Kyoto (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
- Recent matches Urawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kyoto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Urawa have a series of guest games.
- Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kyoto Sanga?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
22.02.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
14.07.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:0
15.05.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:0
15.09.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
27.05.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:2
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
