Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	1.23
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	12
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Long passes
32% (23/72)	34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
47% (50/106)	60% (75/126)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.54
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
50% (4/8)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
52	45
Clearances Total
40	32
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.23	0.98
Goals prevented
0.23	-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Matsuo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
54', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
62', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
62', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
63', Okugawa M. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
75', Hara T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
75', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
75', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
87', Sugai H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
41.9%

Draw
29.7%

Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	6.2% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
Recent matches Urawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kyoto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Urawa have a series of guest games.
Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kyoto Sanga?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 3:0

15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 0:0

27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 3:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League