Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	1.23
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	12
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Long passes
32% (23/72)	34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
47% (50/106)	60% (75/126)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.54
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
50% (4/8)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
52	45
Clearances Total
40	32
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.23	0.98
Goals prevented
0.23	-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Matsuo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
54', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
62', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
62', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
63', Okugawa M. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
75', Hara T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
75', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
75', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
87', Sugai H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
41.9%

Draw
29.7%

Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	6.2% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
Recent matches Urawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kyoto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Urawa have a series of guest games.
Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kyoto Sanga?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 3:0

15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 0:0

27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 3:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League