Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.44
Ball Possession
40.2%59.8%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
85% (361/426)90% (570/631)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.30
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2438
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
98
Passes
85% (361/426)90% (570/631)
Passes in final third
80% (91/114)85% (206/241)
Crosses
28% (5/18)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.13
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
89
Tackles
70% (14/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4449
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
0.301.06
Goals prevented
0.301.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
  • 39', Ishihara H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Shibayama M. , Kitano S. ,
  • 58', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 67', Matheus Savio , Thiago ,
  • 75', Kaneko T. , Okubo T. ,
  • 75', Gustafson S. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 79', Naganuma Y. , Ogiwara T. ,
  • 79', Matsuo Y. , Sekine T. ,

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
42.5%
Draw
27.1%
Cerezo Osaka
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 27.2% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 28.2% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.02)
    3.47
    (3.46)
    3.12
    (3.61)
    6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41%80.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Cerezo Osaka (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Urawa (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Cerezo Osaka (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Cerezo Osaka (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cerezo Osaka (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 4 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
    • Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    05.10.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:1
    15.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    16.07.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0
    04.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers10802018:726
    2FC Tokyo11532119:1023
    3Machida11531217:1622
    4Verdy10330416:1515
    5Kawasaki Frontale10321416:1914
    6Urawa Reds10303414:1512
    7Mito10133313:1912
    8Kashiwa Reysol10310615:1411
    9Yokohama F. Marinos10300713:189
    10Chiba10203510:189


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe11712123:1225
    2Kyoto10421317:1217
    3Gamba Osaka10332216:1417
    4Shimizu S-Pulse11324215:1417
    5Nagoya Grampus10412317:1516
    6Cerezo Osaka10321410:1114
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima10320515:1413
    8V-Varen Nagasaki10400610:1512
    9Avispa Fukuoka10221510:1711
    10Okayama10213411:2011

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