Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.44
Ball Possession
40.2%59.8%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
85% (361/426)90% (570/631)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.30
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2438
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
98
Passes
85% (361/426)90% (570/631)
Passes in final third
80% (91/114)85% (206/241)
Crosses
28% (5/18)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.13
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
89
Tackles
70% (14/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4449
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
0.301.06
Goals prevented
0.301.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
  • 39', Ishihara H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Shibayama M. , Kitano S. ,
  • 58', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 67', Matheus Savio , Thiago ,
  • 75', Kaneko T. , Okubo T. ,
  • 75', Gustafson S. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 79', Naganuma Y. , Ogiwara T. ,
  • 79', Matsuo Y. , Sekine T. ,

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
42.5%
Draw
27.1%
Cerezo Osaka
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 27.2% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 28.2% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.02)
    3.47
    (3.46)
    3.12
    (3.61)
    6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41%80.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Cerezo Osaka (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Urawa (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Cerezo Osaka (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Cerezo Osaka (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cerezo Osaka (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 4 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
    • Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    05.10.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:1
    15.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    16.07.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0
    04.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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