Result
5:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 60', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+6', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lagoa
36.3% | Draw
30.8% | Serpa
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lagoa - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.53) |
2.93 ↓
(3.18) |
2.73 ↑
(2.49) |
11.1%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 5)
- Lagoa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Serpa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Serpa?
Lagoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Lagoa?
Serpa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Serpa were as follows:
17.08.2025
Serpa
-
Lagoa
2:1
13.04.2025
Serpa
-
Lagoa
4:2
05.01.2025
Lagoa
-
Serpa
0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Louletano | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 34 |
| 4 | Serpa | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 28 |
| 10 | Oriental | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 16:36 | -20 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
