Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 31
- Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Ryan A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Edogun S. 🟥,
- 53', 🟨,
- 57', Thompson J. ↓, Rutkowski I. ↑,
- 59', 🟨,
- 63', Lusty M. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,
- 71', Bent D. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 71', Donnelly A. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 71', Ryan A. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ballymena United
20.4% | Draw
25.4% | Larne
54.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ballymena United - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.49 ↓
(5.57) |
3.61 ↓
(4.03) |
1.69 ↑
(1.52) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 1.
- Recent form of Ballymena United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Larne is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ballymena United won against Larne?
Ballymena United has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Ballymena United?
Larne has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Larne were as follows:
03.02.2026
Ballymena United
-
Larne
1:2
02.12.2025
Ballymena United
-
Larne
2:0
01.11.2025
Ballymena United
-
Larne
0:2
29.08.2025
Larne
-
Ballymena United
2:0
11.03.2025
Ballymena United
-
Larne
1:2
Latest results of Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 60:30 | 30 | 61 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 53:21 | 32 | 59 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46:49 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown | 29 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC ✔ | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:53 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 | Ballymena ✔ | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34:46 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 38:68 | -30 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 31 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 30:60 | -30 | 22 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
