Ballymena United vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Ballymena United - Larne
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 18
  • Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
56
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
12
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, McMullan J. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, O'Connor T. ,
  • 41', 🟨,
  • 45', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', O'Connor T. , Ryan A. ,
  • 61', Jarvis A. , Hood J. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, O'Neill P. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 81', Corbally K. , Hawe L. ,
  • 81', McMullan J. , Carson J. ,
  • 81', Edogun S. , Devine E. ,
  • 82', O'Neill P. , Devlin O. ,

Chances of winning


Ballymena United
27.6%
Draw
27.1%
Larne
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 25% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 23.9% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ballymena United - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (4.94)
    3.42
    (3.7)
    2.05
    (1.64)
    7.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ballymena United - Larne?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ballymena United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Larne will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Larne were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Larne - Ballymena United 2:1
    07.09.2024 Larne - Ballymena United 0:1
    17.02.2024 Ballymena United - Larne 0:1
    02.12.2023 Ballymena United - Larne 0:0
    15.08.2023 Larne - Ballymena United 3:0
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Latest results of Larne
    08.03.2025 Loughgall - Larne 0:1
    04.03.2025 Carrick Rangers - Larne 1:0
    26.02.2025 Loughgall - Larne 1:4
    22.02.2025 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 0:1
    18.02.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:1
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran00000:000
    2Cliftonville00000:000
    3Ballymena00000:000
    4Bangor FC00000:000
    5Coleraine00000:000
    6Crusaders00000:000
    7Dungannon00000:000
    8Glenavon00000:000
    9Linfield00000:000
    10Larne00000:000
    11Portadown00000:000
    12Carrick Rangers00000:000

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