Result
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Larne
51.7% | Draw
28% | Ballymena United
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Larne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Larne - Ballymena United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.8) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
4.55 ↓
(4.79) |
8.1%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Recent performances by Larne have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ballymena United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Larne is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Ballymena United?
Larne has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ballymena United won against Larne?
Ballymena United has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Ballymena United were as follows:
11.03.2025
Ballymena United
-
Larne
1:2
25.01.2025
Larne
-
Ballymena United
2:1
07.09.2024
Larne
-
Ballymena United
0:1
17.02.2024
Ballymena United
-
Larne
0:1
02.12.2023
Ballymena United
-
Larne
0:0
Latest results of Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Glentoran | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Ballymena | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Larne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Linfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Portadown | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Bangor FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Cliftonville | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 | Glenavon | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Dungannon | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
