Result
2:0
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 5
- Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Magee B. ⚽,
- 27', Ali G. 🟨,
- 35', Nolan R. 🟨,
- 36', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
- 45', Kennedy B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Lusty M. 🟨,
- 61', Simpson J. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 64', Jarvis A. ↓, O’Reilly J. ↑,
- 70', Gallagher C. 🟨,
- 72', Thompson J. ↓, Nelson K. ↑,
- 72', McCurry C. ↓, Edogun S. ↑,
- 73', Lusty M. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
- 87', Graham S. 🟨,
- 88', O'Connor T. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
- 90', O’Reilly J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Randall M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Bent D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Larne
54.1% | Draw
27.9% | Ballymena United
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Larne - Ballymena United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8
(1.8) |
3.5 ↑
(3.23) |
5.4 ↑
(4.79) |
2.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
- Larne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ballymena United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Larne is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Ballymena United?
Larne has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ballymena United won against Larne?
Ballymena United has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Ballymena United were as follows:
11.03.2025
Ballymena United
-
Larne
1:2
25.01.2025
Larne
-
Ballymena United
2:1
07.09.2024
Larne
-
Ballymena United
0:1
17.02.2024
Ballymena United
-
Larne
0:1
02.12.2023
Ballymena United
-
Larne
0:0
Latest results of Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Glentoran | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Larne | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:4 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Linfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Ballymena | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Bangor FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Dungannon | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Portadown | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Carrick Rangers | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Crusaders | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Glenavon | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:20 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
