Ballymena United vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 31
  • Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
10
Total shots
39
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
25
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ryan A. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Ryan A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Edogun S. 🟥,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 57', Thompson J. , Rutkowski I. ,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 63', Lusty M. , O'Neill P. ,
  • 71', Bent D. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 71', Donnelly A. , McKendry C. ,
  • 71', Ryan A. , Magee B. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ballymena United
20.4%
Draw
25.4%
Larne
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 22.9% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 22.1% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ballymena United - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.49
    (5.57)
    3.61
    (4.03)
    1.69
    (1.52)
    9.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 1.
    • Recent form of Ballymena United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Larne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Larne is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Larne were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Ballymena United - Larne 1:2
    02.12.2025 Ballymena United - Larne 2:0
    01.11.2025 Ballymena United - Larne 0:2
    29.08.2025 Larne - Ballymena United 2:0
    11.03.2025 Ballymena United - Larne 1:2
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Latest results of Larne
    24.02.2026 Larne - Linfield 1:1
    20.02.2026 Larne - Carrick Rangers 2:3
    14.02.2026 Portadown - Larne 2:1
    10.02.2026 Larne - Glentoran 2:2
    07.02.2026 Warrenpoint Town - Larne 0:2
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne33227460:223873
    2Glentoran33216663:303369
    3Coleraine33205862:313165
    4Linfield33188756:243262
    5Cliftonville331381249:48147
    6Dungannon331511740:58-1846
    7Carrick Rangers331271449:51-243
    8Bangor FC331061738:57-1936
    9Portadown331131936:57-2136
    10Ballymena33971739:50-1134
    11Crusaders33752138:72-3426
    12Glenavon33812433:63-3025

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