Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/378) | 77% (233/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/378) | 77% (233/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 45% (42/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Noel V. ⚽, Hurst G. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Herbert A. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
- 24', Nigro G. 🟨,
- 44', Pearson C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Noel V. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 46', Jabang O. ↓, Maples T. ↑,
- 58', Stojanovic S. ↓, McNamara T. ↑,
- 59', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 64', Maples T. 🟨,
- 66', Maples T. 🟨,
- 69', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 70', Shakes K. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Pickering N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 76', Pickering N. 🟨,
- 78', Pickering N. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 80', Gloster C. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 80', Zelalem G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Amang T. ⚽, Bailey Z. (A),
- 90+7', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
65% | Draw
20.1% | Las Vegas Lights
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.5) |
4.71 ↑
(4.19) |
6.32 ↑
(5.61) |
5.8%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
- New Mexico is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Las Vegas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
- In this match, New Mexico is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Las Vegas Lights?
New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against New Mexico United?
Las Vegas Lights has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
15.03.2025
Las Vegas Lights
-
New Mexico United
2:3
09.11.2024
New Mexico United
-
Las Vegas Lights
0:1
31.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Las Vegas Lights
1:2
04.05.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
New Mexico United
1:2
30.08.2023
New Mexico United
-
Las Vegas Lights
3:3
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
