New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.61
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
80% (301/378)77% (233/304)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.141.05
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
915
Passes
80% (301/378)77% (233/304)
Long passes
41% (21/51)45% (42/94)
Passes in final third
61% (61/100)55% (51/93)
Crosses
25% (4/16)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.10
Throw-ins
3622
Fouls
159
Tackles
57% (8/14)100% (9/9)
Duels won
4136
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.050.14
Goals prevented
-0.95-1.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Noel V. ⚽, Hurst G. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Herbert A. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
  • 24', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 44', Pearson C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Noel V. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
  • 46', Jabang O. ↓, Maples T. ↑,
  • 58', Stojanovic S. ↓, McNamara T. ↑,
  • 59', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 64', Maples T. 🟨,
  • 66', Maples T. 🟨,
  • 69', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
  • 70', Shakes K. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Pickering N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
  • 76', Pickering N. 🟨,
  • 78', Pickering N. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
  • 80', Gloster C. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
  • 80', Zelalem G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
  • 84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Amang T. ⚽, Bailey Z. (A),
  • 90+7', Boudadi Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
65%		Draw
20.1%		Las Vegas Lights
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 17.1% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↓
    (1.5)    		 4.71 ↑
    (4.19)    		 6.32 ↑
    (5.61)    		 5.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
    • New Mexico is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Las Vegas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New Mexico is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United 2:3
    09.11.2024 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    31.07.2024 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 1:2
    04.05.2024 Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United 1:2
    30.08.2023 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 3:3
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    09.08.2025 Tulsa - New Mexico United 5:2
    30.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 4:0 ✺
    26.07.2025 San Antonio - New Mexico United 2:3
    12.07.2025 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 1:2
    04.07.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United 1:0
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    09.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio 1:1
    02.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights 6:0 ✺
    19.07.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    12.07.2025 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 4:3 ✺
    04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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