Laval vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval).

Ligue 2 - Round 21
Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.94	1.10
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
86% (422/493)	81% (305/376)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.94	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	1.26
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	5
Shots outside the box
2	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
20	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	2
Free kicks
22	14
Passes
86% (422/493)	81% (305/376)
Long passes
62% (33/53)	32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
70% (120/171)	58% (44/76)
Crosses
29% (10/34)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.43
Throw ins
22	21
Fouls
14	22
Tackles
89% (8/9)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
55	49
Clearances
26	36
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.26	0.07
Goals prevented
0.26	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Versini G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Sanna S. 🟨,
58', Ruiz J. 🟨,
58', Maddy E. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
64', Versini G. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
74', Briancon A. ↓, Kante ↑,
75', Aradj Y. ↓, Samb L. ↑,
85', Thomas T. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
85', Sellouki M. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
85', Mbayo D. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Laval
28.9%

Draw
28.6%

Pau
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Laval - Pau Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.64)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.21 ↓ (2.49)	6.6% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Laval - Pau?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Pau will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Laval (1.90) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Pau (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Pau (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
Pau might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Laval: Bianda W. (Yellow Cards) Commaret M. (Muscle Injury) Dago T. (Inactive) Mandouki C. (Yellow Cards) Thomas T. (Hand Injury)
There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Raveyre N. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive) Zuliani E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Pau: Glossoa N. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Pau?

Laval has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Laval?

Pau has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Pau were as follows:

23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0

31.01.2025 Pau - Laval 1:1

27.09.2024 Laval - Pau 3:1

20.04.2024 Pau - Laval 3:0

16.12.2023 Laval - Pau 1:1

Latest results of Laval

23.01.2026 Amiens - Laval 0:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Laval - Bastia 0:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Istres - Laval 0:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Clermont - Laval 4:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Guingamp - Laval 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Pau

23.01.2026 Pau - Grenoble 2:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Dunkerque - Pau 3:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	44:27	17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	46:29	17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	37:26	11	47
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	31:27	4	44
5	Reims	27	11	10	6	39:26	13	43
6	Rodez	27	11	10	6	34:32	2	43
7	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	33:25	8	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	42:29	13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	35:30	5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	38:38	0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	40:44	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	30:38	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	24:30	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	30:36	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	24:40	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	30:46	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	21:39	-18	20
18	Bastia	27	3	10	14	14:30	-16	19

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National