Result
0:1
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/493) | 81% (305/376) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/493) | 81% (305/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (120/171) | 58% (44/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Versini G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Sanna S. 🟨,
- 58', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 58', Maddy E. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
- 64', Versini G. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 74', Briancon A. ↓, Kante ↑,
- 75', Aradj Y. ↓, Samb L. ↑,
- 85', Thomas T. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
- 85', Sellouki M. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
- 85', Mbayo D. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Laval
28.9% | Draw
28.6% | Pau
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Laval - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.64) |
3.28 ↓
(3.45) |
2.21 ↓
(2.49) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Laval - Pau?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Pau will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Laval (1.90) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Pau (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Pau (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
- Pau might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Laval: Bianda W.
(Yellow Cards)
Commaret M.
(Muscle Injury)
Dago T.
(Inactive)
Mandouki C.
(Yellow Cards)
Thomas T.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
Raveyre N.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Inactive)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Pau: Glossoa N.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Pau?
Laval has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Laval?
Pau has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Pau were as follows:
23.09.2025
Pau
-
Laval
1:0
31.01.2025
Pau
-
Laval
1:1
27.09.2024
Laval
-
Pau
3:1
20.04.2024
Pau
-
Laval
3:0
16.12.2023
Laval
-
Pau
1:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
