Result
0:3
14/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | beIN Sports |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | TV2 Sport X |
Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
France | beIN Sports Max |
Hungary | Sport 1 |
Italy | Sky Sport |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Romania | Digi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3 |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Sweden | CMore Fotboll |
United-kingdom | BT Sport |
World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Spezia 20.7% | Draw 27.1% | Lazio 52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Spezia - Lazio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.63 ↑ (4.35) |
3.53 ↑ (3.51) |
1.83 ↓ (1.85) |
4.6% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Lazio?
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(68 of 81 users predict this - 83.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.96% – 91.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (32.7%), project points - 35, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (24%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Lazio has the most likely position - 2 (47.79%), project points - 71, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 56, importance 47, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0.
- Recent matches Spezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lazio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Lazio is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Yellow Cards)
Caldara M.
(Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Kovalenko V.
(Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Agudelo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Fares M.
(Injury)
Gila M.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Lazio?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Spezia?
Lazio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Lazio were as follows:
02.10.2022
Lazio
-
Spezia
4:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Napoli | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 21 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 26:12 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Juventus | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:16 | 15 | 37 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 28 |
| 10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:33 | -11 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 | Parma | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Torino | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:34 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Genoa | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Lecce | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:29 | -16 | 17 |
| 19 | Pisa | 21 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 14 |
| 20 | Verona | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B