Result
2:1
24/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/357) | 72% (226/312) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (80/130) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 17% (3/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Vignali L. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 12', Elia S. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
- 40', Di Serio G. 🟨,
- 40', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 66', Mulattieri S. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
- 66', Lipani L. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
- 66', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 67', Di Serio G. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 68', Elia S. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 72', Esposito F. 🟨,
- 73', Bandinelli F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
- 81', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
- 85', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 87', Vignali L. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
- 90', Toljan J. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
38.1% | Draw
30.7% | Sassuolo
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Spezia - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.58) |
3.06 ↓
(3.42) |
3.02 ↑
(2.59) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Sassuolo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 16.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
- Recent matches Spezia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Spezia: Sarr M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:25 (average 1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Sassuolo?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Spezia?
Sassuolo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Sassuolo were as follows:
28.09.2024
Sassuolo
-
Spezia
0:0
02.11.2023
Sassuolo
-
Spezia
1:0
23.07.2023
Sassuolo
-
Spezia
2:3
17.03.2023
Sassuolo
-
Spezia
1:0
27.08.2022
Spezia
-
Sassuolo
2:2
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
