LDU Quito vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro LDU Quito - Emelec
Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 20
  • Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.03
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
85% (147/173)76% (100/132)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.00
Total shots
143
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
922
Passes
85% (147/173)76% (100/132)
Long passes
63% (15/24)43% (10/23)
Passes in final third
77% (51/66)53% (21/40)
Crosses
33% (2/6)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.07
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
197
Tackles
71% (5/7)75% (6/8)
Duels won
1519
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
12
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Alzugaray L. (Pen),
  • 40', Cevallos J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Estrada M. (Pen),
  • 55', Cueva C. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 59', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
  • 61', Estrada M. , Medina J. ,
  • 64', Castillo Saa J. L. , Angulo J. ,
  • 72', Ade R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Cornejo F. ,
  • 79', Alvarado A. , Pastran L. ,
  • 80', Medina J. 🟨,
  • 80', Cornejo F. , Villamil G. ,
  • 84', Cuero Palacio J. R. , Solis M. ,
  • 84', Meli M. , Garces R. ,
  • 84', Cevallos J. , Munoz E. ,
  • 87', Alzugaray L. , Minda K. ,
  • 87', Gruezo C. , Erique Villigua Y. H. ,
  • 90+2', Garces R. 🟥,

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
61.1%
Draw
23.7%
Emelec
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 24.2% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.5% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • LDU Quito - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.58)
    3.91
    (3.83)
    6.02
    (5.45)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Emelec were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Emelec - LDU Quito 0:1
    11.05.2024 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:2
    23.10.2023 LDU Quito - Emelec 1:0
    14.05.2023 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:1
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Latest results of Emelec
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1
    21.06.2025 Emelec - Delfín 2:2
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 301810255:233264
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 30149748:311751
    4U. Catolica301310758:391949
    5Orense30138934:32247
    6Libertad301210842:36646
    7Dep. Cuenca301371035:29646
    8Emelec ✔ 301191030:34-442
    9Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin306131126:42-1631
    13Tecnico U30771626:46-2028
    14Vinotinto30761734:43-927
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )