Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
85% (147/173) | 76% (100/132) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.11 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
85% (147/173) | 76% (100/132) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (15/24) | 43% (10/23) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (51/66) | 53% (21/40) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (2/6) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.46 | 0.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
15 | 19 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
1 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 1.11 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Alzugaray L. (Pen),
- 40', Cevallos J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Estrada M. (Pen),
- 55', Cueva C. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 59', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
- 61', Estrada M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 64', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 72', Ade R. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 0, Cornejo F. ⚽,
- 79', Alvarado A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 80', Medina J. 🟨,
- 80', Cornejo F. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 84', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 84', Meli M. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 84', Cevallos J. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 87', Alzugaray L. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 87', Gruezo C. ↓, Erique Villigua Y. H. ↑,
- 90+2', Garces R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito 61.1% | Draw 23.7% | Emelec 15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
LDU Quito - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.58) |
3.91 ↑ (3.83) |
6.02 ↑ (5.45) |
8.5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Emelec?
LDU Quito has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against LDU Quito?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Emelec were as follows:
03.11.2024
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
0:1
11.05.2024
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
2:2
23.10.2023
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
1:0
14.05.2023
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
1:1
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )