LDU Quito vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Copa
Result
1:1 penalties
03/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Ecuador - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
239
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
239
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
186
Corner Kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Solis M. ⚽,
  • 67', Medina J. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
  • 67', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
  • 67', Gonzalez A. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
  • 68', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Cuero Mercado J. W. ↑,
  • 68', Minda K. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
  • 72', Ortiz P. 🟨,
  • 73', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
  • 78', Cornejo F. 🟨,
  • 78', Alvarado A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
  • 88', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 89', Solis M. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
  • 89', Garces R. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
  • 90', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
  • 90+4', Duro G. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ruiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Quinonez L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Cevallos J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Villamil G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Castelli F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cornejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fragozo L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Estrada M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Leon F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
63.8%		Draw
23.6%		Emelec
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 21.6% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 20.3% 15.5%

LDU Quito - Emelec Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.45 ↓
(1.47)		 3.92 ↓
(4.2)		 7.34 ↑
(5.5)		 8.3%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.
    • LDU Quito has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Emelec is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that LDU Quito will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Emelec were as follows:
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    03.11.2024 Emelec - LDU Quito 0:1
    11.05.2024 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:2
    23.10.2023 LDU Quito - Emelec 1:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    28.11.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito 2:2
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺
    12.11.2025 LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca 2:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Emelec
    30.11.2025 Delfín - Emelec 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:2 ✺
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:1
    02.11.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Club Deportivo IbarraSan Antonio0 : 1
    2MantaBye
    3Liga De MacasOlmedo2 : 3
    4LDU QuitoBye
    5EcuageneraCumbaya2 : 1
    6AucasBye
    7BanosHuaquillas FC3 : 2
    8Dep. CuencaBye
    9Luz ValdiviaDep. Santo Domingo1 : 2
    10DelfinBye
    11San CamiloGuayaquil City0 : 1
    12Mushuc RunaBye
    13Leones del NorteSembrando Buenos Campeones4 : 0
    14OrenseBye
    15Miguel IturraldePatria2 : 1
    16EmelecBye
    17GualaceoMineros2 : 0
    18VinotintoBye
    19La TroncalImbabura1 : 2
    20Ind. del ValleBye
    21Ind. JuniorsLDU Portoviejo1 : 2
    22MacaraBye
    23Rio AguaricoLoja2 : 1
    24U. CatolicaBye
    25Atletico VinotintoCuenca Juniors2 : 3
    26Barcelona SCBye
    27La CanteraMontufar4 : 1
    28LibertadBye
    29Club Deportivo PanamericanaNueve de Octubre0 : 1
    30Tecnico U.Bye
    31Deportivo Coca22 de Julio0 : 3
    32EL NacionalBye

    1/16-finals
    1San AntonioManta1 : 0
    2OlmedoLDU Quito1 : 2
    3EcuageneraAucas0 : 1
    4BanosDep. Cuenca0 : 2
    5Dep. Santo DomingoDelfin3 : 2
    6Guayaquil CityMushuc Runa3 : 1
    7Leones del NorteOrense1 : 0
    8Miguel IturraldeEmelec1 : 2
    9GualaceoVinotinto2 : 1
    10ImbaburaInd. del Valle0 : 1
    11LDU PortoviejoMacara1 : 0
    12Rio AguaricoU. Catolica0 : 1
    13Cuenca JuniorsBarcelona SC2 : 0
    14La CanteraLibertad1 : 0
    15Nueve de OctubreTecnico U.1 : 0
    1622 de JulioEL Nacional0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1San AntonioLDU Quito0 : 4
    2AucasDep. Cuenca1 : 2
    3Dep. Santo DomingoGuayaquil City2 : 3
    4Leones del NorteEmelec0 : 1
    5GualaceoInd. del Valle0 : 6
    6LDU PortoviejoU. Catolica1 : 3
    7Cuenca JuniorsLa Cantera6 : 1
    8Nueve de OctubreEL Nacional2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LDU QuitoDep. Cuenca2 : 0
    2Guayaquil CityEmelec0 : 1
    3Ind. del ValleU. Catolica1 : 2
    4Cuenca JuniorsNueve de Octubre2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LDU QuitoEmelec1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2U. CatolicaCuenca Juniors0 : 0, 4 : 1

    Final
    1LDU QuitoU. Catolica2 : 3
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