LDU Quito vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1 penalties
03/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Ecuador - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
239
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
239
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
186
Corner Kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Solis M. ,
  • 67', Medina J. , Estrada M. ,
  • 67', Cuero Palacio J. R. , Castelli F. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez A. , Quintero S. ,
  • 68', Erique Villigua Y. H. , Cuero Mercado J. W. ,
  • 68', Minda K. , Cornejo F. ,
  • 72', Ortiz P. 🟨,
  • 73', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. , Leon F. ,
  • 78', Cornejo F. 🟨,
  • 78', Alvarado A. , Pastran L. ,
  • 88', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 89', Solis M. , Fragozo L. ,
  • 89', Garces R. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 90', Cuero Mercado J. W. , de la Cruz D. I. ,
  • 90+4', Duro G. 🟥,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ruiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Quinonez L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Cevallos J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Villamil G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Castelli F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cornejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fragozo L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Estrada M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Leon F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
63.8%
Draw
23.6%
Emelec
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 21.6% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 20.3% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • LDU Quito - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.47)
    3.92
    (4.2)
    7.34
    (5.5)
    8.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - LDU Quito (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): LDU Quito will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.
    • LDU Quito has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Emelec is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that LDU Quito will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Emelec were as follows:
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    03.11.2024 Emelec - LDU Quito 0:1
    11.05.2024 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:2
    23.10.2023 LDU Quito - Emelec 1:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Latest results of Emelec
    30.11.2025 Delfín - Emelec 0:1
    22.11.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:2
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2
    09.11.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:1
    02.11.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 3:0
    Draw
    2026

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