Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 7
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/417) | 74% (145/196) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/417) | 74% (145/196) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (107/140) | 56% (33/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Mina R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 49', Velasco A. 🟨,
- 50', Velasco A. 🟨,
- 57', Hoyos M. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 57', Mercado P. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 59', Mina R. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 59', Gruezo C. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
- 70', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 70', Pastran L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Alvarado A. ⚽, Estrada M. (A),
- 82', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 84', Lerma J. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 84', Medina J. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 89', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 89', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Spinelli C. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 90+1', Arroyo J. P. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Alzugaray L. ⚽, Cornejo F. (A),
- 90+7', Alzugaray L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
43.5% | Draw
28.5% | Independiente del Valle
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.05) |
3.3 ↓
(3.38) |
3.36 ↓
(3.49) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
- LDU Quito has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ind del Valle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Independiente del Valle?
LDU Quito has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against LDU Quito?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
26.10.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
Postponed
22.06.2025
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:1
14.12.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:0
07.12.2024
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
3:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 47:34 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Aucas | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 55:48 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44:38 | 6 | 52 |
| 10 | Emelec | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 49 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 41:59 | -18 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 30:60 | -30 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
