Result
0:0
10/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (290/343) | 80% (255/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (290/343) | 80% (255/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (62/84) | 57% (51/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Spinelli C. 🟨,
- 7', Zarate L. 🟨,
- 15', Quinonez L. 🟨,
- 33', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gruezo C. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 51', Medina J. 🟨,
- 52', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 59', Schunke R. 🟨,
- 61', Hoyos M. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
- 61', Briones R. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 69', Pastran L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 69', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 79', Spinelli C. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 80', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 80', Quinonez L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 88', Lerma J. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
37.3% | Draw
29.7% | LDU Quito
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente del Valle's form might have worsened.LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.02) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
2.83 ↓
(3.76) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.
- Ind del Valle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LDU Quito is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against LDU Quito?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Independiente del Valle?
LDU Quito has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito were as follows:
28.11.2025
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
2:1
22.06.2025
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:1
14.12.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:0
07.12.2024
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
3:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
