Result
1:0
28/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Greece | ERT 2, ERT Sports 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/466) | 78% (298/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/466) | 78% (298/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 52% (33/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (81/122) | 53% (49/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
- 15', Guidara T. 🟨,
- 45+4', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 45+5', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 58', Medina J. 🟨,
- 62', Besozzi L. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 62', Carrera R. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
- 72', Salvio E. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
- 72', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Cardozo A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Cardozo A. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
- 77', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 77', Redes R. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 77', Medina J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 85', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
64.6% | Draw
22.7% | LDU Quito
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+5%)
Lanús - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.64) |
4.11 ↑
(3.74) |
7.43 ↑
(5.51) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lanús - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 70%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in LDU Quito: Ade R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in LDU Quito: Corozo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against LDU Quito?
Lanús has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Lanús?
LDU Quito has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - LDU Quito were as follows:
21.08.2024
Lanús
-
LDU Quito
3:1
14.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Lanús
1:2
Latest results of LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
