Result
1:1
26/05/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 37
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Bastia
32.7% | Draw
29.7% | Le Havre
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bastia - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.45) |
3.13 ↑
(2.8) |
2.48 ↓
(2.8) |
7.3%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Le Havre will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 23.2% – 63.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (56.12%), project points - 61, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.
- Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (63.62%), project points - 74, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (96%), a good chance of win league (64%).
- This event has quality 39, importance 50, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Le Havre?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Bastia?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Le Havre were as follows:
08.10.2022
Le Havre
-
Bastia
3:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
