Bastia vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Le Havre
Result
1:1
26/05/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Bastia
32.7%
Draw
29.7%
Le Havre
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 31.8% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 34.3% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bastia - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.45)
    3.13
    (2.8)
    2.48
    (2.8)
    7.3%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Le Havre will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 23.2%63.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (56.12%), project points - 61, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.
    • Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (63.62%), project points - 74, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (96%), a good chance of win league (64%).
    • This event has quality 39, importance 50, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Le Havre were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Le Havre - Bastia 3:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    20.05.2023 Pau - Bastia 2:6
    13.05.2023 Bastia - Niort 2:1
    06.05.2023 Laval - Bastia 2:1
    22.04.2023 Dijon - Bastia 1:1
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    22.05.2023 Le Havre - Valenciennes 0:2
    15.05.2023 Annecy - Le Havre 1:0
    08.05.2023 Le Havre - Rodez 1:0
    22.04.2023 Le Havre - Quevilly 0:0
    15.04.2023 Nîmes - Le Havre 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National