Result
1:0
22/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 3
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/326) | 79% (236/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/326) | 79% (236/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (65/89) | 51% (39/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Ribelin A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luvambo T. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 60', Tomi F. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 61', Ble M. ↓, Parravicini N. ↑,
- 64', Guidi D. 🟨,
- 65', Vercruysse J. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 65', Abanda L. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
- 65', Rossignol M. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
- 76', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 76', Sebas J. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 77', Robin M. 🟨,
- 81', Ribelin A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
- 84', Yohou S. 🟨,
- 88', Parravicini N. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. (Pen),
- 90+8', Janneh J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Mans
35% | Draw
29.9% | Bastia
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Le Mans - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.29) |
3.11 ↓
(3.31) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Bastia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E.
(Back Injury)
Guillaume B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ducrocq T.
(Red Card)
Guevara J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Bastia?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Le Mans?
Bastia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Bastia were as follows:
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
