Le Mans vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Le Mans - Bastia
Result
1:0
22/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 3
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.26
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
1215
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Long passes
44% (24/55)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
73% (65/89)51% (39/76)
Crosses
21% (6/29)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.42
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1711
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
3336
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.261.32
Goals prevented
0.260.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Ribelin A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luvambo T. , Harhouz W. ,
  • 60', Tomi F. , Vincent C. ,
  • 61', Ble M. , Parravicini N. ,
  • 64', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 65', Vercruysse J. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 65', Abanda L. , Calodat L. ,
  • 65', Rossignol M. , Robin M. ,
  • 76', Bohnert F. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 77', Robin M. 🟨,
  • 81', Ribelin A. , Oggad B. ,
  • 84', Yohou S. 🟨,
  • 88', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Janneh J. , Aiki A. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
35%
Draw
29.9%
Bastia
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.9% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.
  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Le Mans - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.29)
    3.11
    (3.31)
    2.68
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Le Mans - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Bastia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Guillaume B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ducrocq T. (Red Card) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Le Mans
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    01.08.2025 Le Mans - Caen 2:0
    23.07.2025 Quevilly - Le Mans 2:4
    19.07.2025 Le Havre - Le Mans 0:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1173120:91124
    2Red Star1172217:9823
    3Pau FC1163217:12521
    4St Etienne1062221:13820
    5Montpellier1152413:11217
    6Reims1144316:15116
    7Le Mans1144315:14116
    8Amiens1143414:14015
    9Guingamp1143418:22-415
    10Dunkerque1134419:15413
    11Clermont1134410:14-413
    12Rodez1134411:15-413
    13Annecy1033410:12-212
    14Nancy1133511:16-512
    15Grenoble1124511:14-310
    16Boulogne113179:14-510
    17Laval101547:12-58
    18Bastia100464:12-84

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          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
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