Fiorentina vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

Serie A - Round 10
Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.16
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
84% (387/460)	68% (187/275)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.47	0.90
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
31	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
21	14
Passes
84% (387/460)	68% (187/275)
Long passes
50% (30/60)	33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
66% (85/128)	51% (50/99)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.32
Throw-ins
15	22
Fouls
14	21
Tackles
82% (9/11)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
61	58
Clearances
20	43
Interceptions
7	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.90	1.47
Goals prevented
-0.10	1.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
15', Fagioli N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Berisha M. ⚽,
41', Veiga D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndour C. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
46', Fagioli N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
46', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
59', Dzeko E. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
66', Kean M. 🟨,
73', Banda L. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
76', Berisha M. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
77', Comuzzo P. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
89', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
89', Tete Morente ↓, Kaba M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
56.7%

Draw
25.9%

Lecce
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1%)

Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	3.73 ↑ (3.52)	5.51 ↑ (5.09)	4.4% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 42 - 75%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fiorentina (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Lecce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Viti M. (Red Card)
There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lecce?

Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Fiorentina?

Lecce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0

20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6

02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2

27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2

19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0

Latest results of Fiorentina

29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2 ✺

23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺

19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Udinese - Lecce 3:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Lecce - Sassuolo 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B