Fiorentina vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 10
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.16
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (387/460)68% (187/275)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.90
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3110
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
84% (387/460)68% (187/275)
Long passes
50% (30/60)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
66% (85/128)51% (50/99)
Crosses
31% (8/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.32
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
1421
Tackles
82% (9/11)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2043
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.901.47
Goals prevented
-0.101.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
  • 15', Fagioli N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Berisha M. ,
  • 41', Veiga D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ndour C. , Sohm S. ,
  • 46', Fagioli N. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 46', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Mandragora R. ,
  • 59', Dzeko E. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 66', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 73', Banda L. , Pierotti S. ,
  • 76', Berisha M. , Maleh Y. ,
  • 77', Comuzzo P. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 89', Stulic N. , Camarda F. ,
  • 89', Tete Morente , Kaba M. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
56.7%
Draw
25.9%
Lecce
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 27.2% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.6% 18.4%

Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.78)
3.73
(3.52)
5.51
(5.09)
4.4%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 42 - 75%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 63.7%86.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lecce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Viti M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6
    02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2
    27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2
    19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    Latest results of Lecce
    28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    25.10.2025 Udinese - Lecce 3:2
    18.10.2025 Lecce - Sassuolo 0:0
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter15110434:142033
    2AC Milan1595124:131132
    3Napoli15101422:13931
    4AS Roma15100516:8830
    5Juventus1575319:14526
    6Bologna1574423:131025
    7Como1566319:12724
    8Lazio1564517:11622
    9Sassuolo1563621:19221
    10Udinese1563616:22-621
    11Cremonese1555518:18020
    12Atalanta1547419:18119
    13Torino1545615:26-1117
    14Lecce1544711:19-816
    15Cagliari1535715:21-614
    16Genoa1535716:23-714
    17Parma1535710:18-814
    18Verona1526713:22-912
    19Pisa1517710:20-1010
    20Fiorentina1506912:26-146

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B