Fiorentina vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 10
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.16
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (387/460)68% (187/275)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.90
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3110
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
84% (387/460)68% (187/275)
Long passes
50% (30/60)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
66% (85/128)51% (50/99)
Crosses
31% (8/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.32
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
1421
Tackles
82% (9/11)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2043
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.901.47
Goals prevented
-0.101.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
  • 15', Fagioli N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Berisha M. ,
  • 41', Veiga D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ndour C. , Sohm S. ,
  • 46', Fagioli N. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 46', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Mandragora R. ,
  • 59', Dzeko E. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 66', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 73', Banda L. , Pierotti S. ,
  • 76', Berisha M. , Maleh Y. ,
  • 77', Comuzzo P. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 89', Stulic N. , Camarda F. ,
  • 89', Tete Morente , Kaba M. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
56.7%
Draw
25.9%
Lecce
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 27.2% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.6% 18.4%

Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.78)
3.73
(3.52)
5.51
(5.09)
4.4%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 42 - 75%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 63.7%86.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lecce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Viti M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6
    02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2
    27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2
    19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    Latest results of Lecce
    28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    25.10.2025 Udinese - Lecce 3:2
    18.10.2025 Lecce - Sassuolo 0:0
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma1290315:6927
    2AC Milan1274118:9925
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1253415:9618
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B