Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań
26/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
45.8%
Draw
25.7%
Lech Poznań
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.11)
    3.64
    (3.08)
    3.32
    (3.12)
    6.1%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Legia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    11.05.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1144324:17716
    8Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1223716:24-89
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

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          Relegation ~ Division 1