Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
26/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 13
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.53
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
84% (343/409)85% (381/450)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.12
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
84% (343/409)85% (381/450)
Long passes
43% (23/54)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)71% (102/143)
Crosses
24% (7/29)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.69
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
1613
Tackles
26% (5/19)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
2432
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.120.84
Goals prevented
0.120.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 59', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 63', Palma L. , Bengtsson L. ,
  • 68', Vinagre R. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 69', Elitim J. , Reca A. ,
  • 72', Jagiello F. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 72', Ismaheel T. , Lisman K. ,
  • 77', Urbanski K. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 77', Augustyniak R. , Szymanski D. ,
  • 88', Ishak M. , Agnero Y. ,
  • 90', Milic A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stojanovic P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
45.2%
Draw
26%
Lech Poznań
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.11)
    3.59
    (3.08)
    3.26
    (3.12)
    6.3%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Lech will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 30.8%69.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Legia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Piatkowski K. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Jagiello F. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    11.05.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan281210649:40946
    2Zaglebie28128842:33944
    3Jagiellonia281110744:35943
    4Gornik Zabrze28127940:33743
    5Wisla Plock28119829:26342
    6Rakow281171037:35240
    7GKS Katowice281241239:38140
    8Motor Lublin28912737:40-339
    9Lechia Gdansk281261055:51437
    10Korona Kielce281071136:34237
    11Cracovia28910933:33037
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Legia28713833:32134
    14Radomiak Radom288101043:42134
    15Arka Gdynia28971230:47-1734
    16Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    17Widzew Lodz28961333:35-233
    18Termalica B-B28671533:51-1825

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          Relegation ~ Division 1