Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
0:0
26/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 13
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.53
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
84% (343/409)85% (381/450)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.12
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
84% (343/409)85% (381/450)
Long passes
43% (23/54)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)71% (102/143)
Crosses
24% (7/29)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.69
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
1613
Tackles
26% (5/19)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
2432
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.120.84
Goals prevented
0.120.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 59', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
  • 63', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 68', Vinagre R. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
  • 69', Elitim J. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
  • 72', Jagiello F. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
  • 72', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
  • 77', Urbanski K. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
  • 77', Augustyniak R. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
  • 88', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 90', Milic A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stojanovic P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
45.2%		Draw
26%		Lech Poznań
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.09 ↓
    (2.11)    		 3.59 ↑
    (3.08)    		 3.26 ↑
    (3.12)    		 6.3%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Lech will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 30.8% – 69.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Legia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Piatkowski K. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Jagiello F. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    11.05.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    23.10.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    23.10.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien 4:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Division 1

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