Result
4:1
23/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (425/501) | 87% (385/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (425/501) | 87% (385/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 79% (91/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Grzesik J. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 23', Lopes V. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Ishak M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 61', 3 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽,
- 68', Lopes V. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 68', Wolski R. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
- 68', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
- 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 68', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez P. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 1, Balde E. ⚽, Zie Ouattara (A),
- 81', Camara I. 🟨,
- 83', Capita ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 83', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 84', Jagiello F. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Agnero Y. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
55.7% | Draw
23.5% | Radomiak Radom
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
4.03 ↓
(4.16) |
4.56 ↓
(4.96) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
- In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radomiak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Tapsoba A.
(Yellow Cards)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Radomiak Radom?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Lech Poznań?
Radomiak Radom has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
27.04.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
26.10.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
16.12.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
30.07.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Radomiak Radom
2:0
24.04.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
