Result
2:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (250/329) | 82% (332/405) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (250/329) | 82% (332/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/118) | 69% (76/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Jagiello F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Salamon B. ↓, Monka W. ↑,
- 57', Jagiello F. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
- 57', Lisman K. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 65', Dadashov R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 66', Grzesik J. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 73', Golubickas P. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 73', Kaput M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
- 77', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Capita ⚽,
- 80', Wolski R. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 84', Pereira J. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
26.7% | Draw
26.7% | Lech Poznań
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(3.75) |
3.53 ↓
(3.73) |
2.02 ↑
(1.85) |
6.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Lech will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lech will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Lech Poznań?
Radomiak Radom has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Radomiak Radom?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań were as follows:
26.10.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
16.12.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
30.07.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Radomiak Radom
2:0
24.04.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
09.10.2022
Lech Poznań
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
