Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań
Result
2:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.54
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
76% (250/329)82% (332/405)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.430.78
Total shots
174
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
109
Passes
76% (250/329)82% (332/405)
Long passes
38% (23/60)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)69% (76/110)
Crosses
25% (9/36)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.44
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
910
Tackles
47% (9/19)33% (4/12)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
2841
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
12
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.781.43
Goals prevented
-1.22-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Ishak M. , Jagiello F. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Jagiello F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Salamon B. , Monka W. ,
  • 57', Jagiello F. , Murawski R. ,
  • 57', Lisman K. , Hakans D. ,
  • 65', Dadashov R. , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 66', Grzesik J. , Alves R. ,
  • 73', Golubickas P. , Barbosa R. ,
  • 73', Kaput M. , Ramos F. ,
  • 77', Gholizadeh A. , Walemark P. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Capita ,
  • 80', Wolski R. , Pedro Perotti ,
  • 84', Pereira J. , Carstensen R. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
26.7%
Draw
26.7%
Lech Poznań
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 24.9% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 24% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.75)
    3.53
    (3.73)
    2.02
    (1.85)
    6.1%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Lech will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lech will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    16.12.2023 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 2:2
    30.07.2023 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 2:0
    24.04.2023 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 1:1
    09.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 1:0
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1