Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2940
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Long passes
47% (22/47)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)67% (95/142)
Crosses
23% (3/13)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.18
Fouls
1213
Tackles
62% (13/21)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5263
Clearances Total
3718
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.672.62
Goals prevented
0.67-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 41', Zukowski M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Samiec-Talar P. , Zukowski M. ,
  • 46', Pereira J. , Pingot M. ,
  • 49', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 58', Petkov A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jagiello F. , Hotic D. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 70', Al Hamlawi A. , Udahl H. ,
  • 74', Gholizadeh A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 74', Walemark P. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 77', Ortiz A. , Jasper S. ,
  • 77', Pozo J. , Baluta T. ,
  • 84', Jezierski J. , Ince B. ,
  • 88', Sousa A. 🟨,
  • 89', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 89', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 89', Szota S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Schwarz P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
28%
Draw
26.9%
Lech Poznań
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.39)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    2.09
    (2.11)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Lech will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Gerstenstein L. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Ankle Injury) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Gonzalez M. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Milic A. (Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:0
    24.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 0:0
    20.08.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1
    26.02.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 2:1
    19.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:3
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1