Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2940
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Long passes
47% (22/47)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)67% (95/142)
Crosses
23% (3/13)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.18
Fouls
1213
Tackles
62% (13/21)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5263
Clearances Total
3718
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.672.62
Goals prevented
0.67-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 41', Zukowski M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Samiec-Talar P. , Zukowski M. ,
  • 46', Pereira J. , Pingot M. ,
  • 49', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 58', Petkov A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jagiello F. , Hotic D. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 70', Al Hamlawi A. , Udahl H. ,
  • 74', Gholizadeh A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 74', Walemark P. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 77', Ortiz A. , Jasper S. ,
  • 77', Pozo J. , Baluta T. ,
  • 84', Jezierski J. , Ince B. ,
  • 88', Sousa A. 🟨,
  • 89', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 89', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 89', Szota S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Schwarz P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
28%
Draw
26.9%
Lech Poznań
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.39)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    2.09
    (2.11)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Lech will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Gerstenstein L. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Ankle Injury) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Gonzalez M. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Milic A. (Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:0
    24.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 0:0
    20.08.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1
    26.02.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 2:1
    19.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:3
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zaglebie25118640:291141
    2Jagiellonia25118642:321041
    3Lech Poznan25118642:36641
    4Gornik Zabrze25115936:32438
    5Rakow251141034:32237
    6Wisla Plock2599726:24236
    7GKS Katowice251131135:34136
    8Pogon Szczecin251041135:38-334
    9Motor Lublin25810734:38-434
    10Radomiak Radom2589841:37433
    11Cracovia2589830:28233
    12Korona Kielce25961030:29133
    13Piast Gliwice25951129:32-332
    14Lechia Gdansk25106949:47231
    15Arka Gdynia25861125:41-1630
    16Legia25611829:30-129
    17Widzew Lodz25841331:34-328
    18Termalica B-B25571329:44-1522

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1