Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2940
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Long passes
47% (22/47)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)67% (95/142)
Crosses
23% (3/13)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.18
Fouls
1213
Tackles
62% (13/21)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5263
Clearances Total
3718
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.672.62
Goals prevented
0.67-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 41', Zukowski M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Samiec-Talar P. , Zukowski M. ,
  • 46', Pereira J. , Pingot M. ,
  • 49', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 58', Petkov A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jagiello F. , Hotic D. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 70', Al Hamlawi A. , Udahl H. ,
  • 74', Gholizadeh A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 74', Walemark P. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 77', Ortiz A. , Jasper S. ,
  • 77', Pozo J. , Baluta T. ,
  • 84', Jezierski J. , Ince B. ,
  • 88', Sousa A. 🟨,
  • 89', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 89', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 89', Szota S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Schwarz P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
28%
Draw
26.9%
Lech Poznań
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.39)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    2.09
    (2.11)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Lech will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Gerstenstein L. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Ankle Injury) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Gonzalez M. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Milic A. (Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:0
    24.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 0:0
    20.08.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1
    26.02.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 2:1
    19.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:3
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia21107437:241337
    2Zaglebie2298535:27835
    3Lech Poznan2298536:31535
    4Gornik Zabrze22104832:28434
    5Rakow22104828:25334
    6Wisla Plock2289524:18633
    7Cracovia2289527:22533
    8Korona Kielce2286827:24330
    9Radomiak Radom2177736:33328
    10Pogon Szczecin22841032:35-328
    11Lechia Gdansk2295844:43127
    12GKS Katowice21831028:31-327
    13Motor Lublin2269730:37-727
    14Piast Gliwice22751023:26-326
    15Arka Gdynia21741019:36-1725
    16Legia2259825:27-224
    17Widzew Lodz22731229:32-324
    18Termalica B-B22561126:39-1321

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1