Lechia Gdańsk vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
06/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.121.90
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
94
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
65
Passes
80% (294/368)78% (266/343)
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.121.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.382.70
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
59
Shots inside the box
1014
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3540
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
614
Passes
80% (294/368)78% (266/343)
Long passes
51% (19/37)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)58% (56/97)
Crosses
24% (5/21)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.821.02
Throw ins
2025
Fouls
146
Tackles
52% (11/21)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
3941
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.703.38
Goals prevented
0.70-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Cirkovic A. , Bobcek T. (A),
  • 27', Sotiriou K. 🟥,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 33', Davidovic S. , Matuszewski K. ,
  • 45', Mena C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mena C. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 46', Wojtowicz T. , Kludka B. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Kapic R. , Zhelizko I. (A),
  • 62', Bobcek T. , Kurminowski D. ,
  • 67', Remacle M. , Gustafson S. ,
  • 67', Stepinski M. , Cebula M. ,
  • 67', Dlugosz W. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 75', Sezonienko K. , Viunnyk B. ,
  • 77', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Blanik D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', 3 - 2, Resta P. , Rubezic S. (A),
  • 88', Pieczek M. , Hancko A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Kurminowski D. , Neugebauer T. (A),
  • 90+4', Kapic R. , Pllana B. ,
  • 90+6', Pllana B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
47.4%
Draw
25.9%
Korona Kielce
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.3% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27.6% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.19)
    3.62
    (3.48)
    3.51
    (3.26)
    6.1%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury) Mena C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Rodin M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 3:0
    11.05.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce 3:2
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

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          Relegation ~ Division 1