Lechia Gdańsk vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce
Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 32
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.961.06
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (235/309)79% (298/379)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.961.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.211.09
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
76% (235/309)79% (298/379)
Long passes
38% (18/47)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
65% (79/122)67% (62/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.93
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
69% (9/13)74% (23/31)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.093.21
Goals prevented
-0.910.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
  • 41', Khlan M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Matuszewski K. , Ciszek K. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Pllana B. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kaminski W. , Strzeboński M. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Dlugosz W. ,
  • 58', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Dlugosz W. , Blanik D. (A),
  • 61', Glogowski M. , Sezonienko K. ,
  • 68', Nono 🟨,
  • 75', Fornalczyk M. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 75', Shikavka Y. , Bak D. ,
  • 77', Viunnyk B. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 84', Dlugosz W. , Godinho M. ,
  • 89', Khlan M. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Sezonienko K. , Mena C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
46.5%
Draw
27.6%
Korona Kielce
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.8% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.1)
    3.41
    (3.45)
    3.61
    (3.25)
    6.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A. (Injury) Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Nagamatsu S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Korona: Sotiriou K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Radomiak Radom11005:143
    2Termalica B-B11004:043
    3Cracovia11004:133
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Piast Gliwice00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Arka Gdynia10010:1-10
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1