Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk
27/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
49.9%
Draw
25.4%
Lechia Gdańsk
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 23.9% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.79)
    3.72
    (3.95)
    3.82
    (4.01)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
    • Korona is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lechia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Korona is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce 3:2
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze960314:7718
    2Cracovia852116:9717
    3Jagiellonia852114:10417
    4Wisla Plock851210:5516
    5Korona Kielce943211:7415
    6Lech Poznan842215:14114
    7Legia833211:6512
    8Radomiak Radom932415:16-111
    9Zaglebie824216:13310
    10Widzew Lodz931513:12110
    11Motor Lublin82429:12-310
    12Pogon Szczecin931514:18-410
    13Termalica B-B923411:13-29
    14Arka Gdynia92345:10-59
    15Rakow82249:13-48
    16GKS Katowice921610:20-107
    17Lechia Gdansk932418:22-46
    18Piast Gliwice70433:7-44

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1