Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/308) | 79% (310/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/308) | 79% (310/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 64% (77/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Pieczek M. (A),
- 44', Mena C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Viunnyk B. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 64', Bobcek T. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 72', Resta P. 🟨,
- 76', Blanik D. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
- 76', Pieczek M. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 77', Nono 🟨,
- 79', Kalahur M. 🟥,
- 81', Kurminowski D. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
- 86', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, Remacle M. ⚽,
- 90', Neugebauer T. ↓, Szczepankiewicz B. ↑,
- 90', Mena C. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
53.8% | Draw
25.7% | Lechia Gdańsk
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.79) |
3.89 ↓
(3.95) |
5.07 ↑
(4.01) |
0.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Korona (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Korona Kielce will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
- Korona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lechia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Korona is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
11.05.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Korona Kielce
3:2
09.11.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
18.02.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
