Result
4:2
06/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/368) | 78% (266/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/368) | 78% (266/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (94/133) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 3.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Cirkovic A. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
- 27', Sotiriou K. 🟥,
- 29', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Davidovic S. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
- 45', Mena C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Mena C. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 46', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Kapic R. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
- 62', Bobcek T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 67', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
- 67', Stepinski M. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
- 67', Dlugosz W. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 75', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 77', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Blanik D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', 3 - 2, Resta P. ⚽, Rubezic S. (A),
- 88', Pieczek M. ↓, Hancko A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Neugebauer T. (A),
- 90+4', Kapic R. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
- 90+6', Pllana B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk 47.4% | Draw 25.9% | Korona Kielce 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.19) |
3.62 ↑ (3.48) |
3.51 ↑ (3.26) |
6.1% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mena C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Rodin M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
27.09.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:0
11.05.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Korona Kielce
3:2
09.11.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
18.02.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 45 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 42 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 55:50 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Legia | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1