Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (235/309) | 79% (298/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (235/309) | 79% (298/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/122) | 67% (62/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 74% (23/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
- 41', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Matuszewski K. ↓, Ciszek K. ↑,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Pllana B. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kaminski W. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Dlugosz W. ⚽,
- 58', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 2, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 61', Glogowski M. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 68', Nono 🟨,
- 75', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 75', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
- 77', Viunnyk B. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 84', Dlugosz W. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
- 89', Khlan M. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
46.5% | Draw
27.6% | Korona Kielce
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.1) |
3.41 ↓
(3.45) |
3.61 ↑
(3.25) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
Lechia Gdańsk will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Nagamatsu S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Sotiriou K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
09.11.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
18.02.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
