Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 32
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.96 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
76% (235/309) | 79% (298/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.96 | 1.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.21 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
76% (235/309) | 79% (298/379) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/47) | 48% (30/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (79/122) | 67% (62/93) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (3/11) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.56 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 74% (23/31) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 3.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.91 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
- 41', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Matuszewski K. ↓, Ciszek K. ↑,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Pllana B. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kaminski W. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Dlugosz W. ⚽,
- 58', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 2, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 61', Glogowski M. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 68', Nono 🟨,
- 75', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 75', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
- 77', Viunnyk B. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 84', Dlugosz W. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
- 89', Khlan M. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk 46.5% | Draw 27.6% | Korona Kielce 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.1) |
3.41 ↓ (3.45) |
3.61 ↑ (3.25) |
6.3% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
Lechia Gdańsk will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Nagamatsu S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Sotiriou K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
09.11.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
18.02.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Termalica B-B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Cracovia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1