Result
3:2
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 76% (247/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 76% (247/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (156/199) | 60% (31/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.91 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Gerbowski F. ⚽, Guillaumier M. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 48', Esselink B. 🟨,
- 62', Gerbowski F. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
- 67', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 68', Chindris A. ↓, Gueho L. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 85', Domanski M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
- 85', Kapic R. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 86', Beauguel J. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Tsarenko A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
43.8% | Draw
27.7% | Stal Mielec
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.2) |
3.38 ↑
(3.25) |
3.25 ↑
(2.88) |
7%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lechia (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2.
- Lechia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Stal Mielec has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lechia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Dadok R.
(Yellow Cards)
Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Stal Mielec?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec were as follows:
05.10.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
14.05.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
30.10.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
