Result
3:2
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6 |
Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.70 | 1.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
85% (456/535) | 76% (247/326) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.70 | 1.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.00 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 17 |
Through passes |
---|
50% (1/2) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
85% (456/535) | 76% (247/326) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (20/44) | 44% (23/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (156/199) | 60% (31/52) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (8/22) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.55 | 0.91 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (14/19) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
---|
8 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 2.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Gerbowski F. ⚽, Guillaumier M. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 48', Esselink B. 🟨,
- 62', Gerbowski F. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
- 67', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 68', Chindris A. ↓, Gueho L. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 85', Domanski M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
- 85', Kapic R. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 86', Beauguel J. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Tsarenko A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk 43.8% | Draw 27.7% | Stal Mielec 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.2) |
3.38 ↑ (3.25) |
3.25 ↑ (2.88) |
7% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2.
- Lechia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Stal Mielec has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lechia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Dadok R.
(Yellow Cards)
Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Stal Mielec?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec were as follows:
05.10.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
14.05.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
30.10.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1