Burnley vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.67
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
419
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
76% (216/286)85% (503/591)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.55
Total shots
419
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
344
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
710
Passes
76% (216/286)85% (503/591)
Long passes
44% (21/48)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
53% (37/70)74% (117/159)
Crosses
29% (2/7)38% (18/47)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.53
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
107
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3954
Clearances
5011
Interceptions
1711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.551.21
Goals prevented
0.55-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ugochukwu L. ⚽, Walker K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Anthony J. 🟨,
  • 58', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
  • 66', Aaronson B. ↓, James D. ↑,
  • 66', Harrison J. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Florentino (A),
  • 73', Stach A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
  • 77', Flemming Z. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
  • 81', Ampadu E. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
  • 83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
  • 83', Anthony J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Struijk P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
28.2%		Draw
29.2%		Leeds United
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 28.8% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 29.5% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Burnley - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.41 ↑
    (3.27)    		 3.31 ↑
    (3.3)    		 2.29 ↑
    (2.26)    		 3.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 24.7% – 56.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Burnley (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 25%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.
    • Burnley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Gray H. (Hip Injury) James D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Gnonto W. (Calf Injury) Okafor N. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Leeds United were as follows:
    27.01.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    14.09.2024 Leeds United - Burnley 0:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    04.10.2025 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Leeds United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Fulham - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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