Burnley vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Burnley - Leeds United
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.67
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
419
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
76% (216/286)85% (503/591)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.55
Total shots
419
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
344
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
710
Passes
76% (216/286)85% (503/591)
Long passes
44% (21/48)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
53% (37/70)74% (117/159)
Crosses
29% (2/7)38% (18/47)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.53
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
107
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3954
Clearances
5011
Interceptions
1711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.551.21
Goals prevented
0.55-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ugochukwu L. , Walker K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Anthony J. 🟨,
  • 58', Bruun Larsen J. , Tchaouna L. ,
  • 66', Aaronson B. , James D. ,
  • 66', Harrison J. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Tchaouna L. , Florentino (A),
  • 73', Stach A. , Piroe J. ,
  • 77', Flemming Z. , Laurent J. ,
  • 81', Ampadu E. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 83', Ugochukwu L. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 83', Anthony J. , Barnes A. ,
  • 90+2', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Struijk P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
28.2%
Draw
29.2%
Leeds United
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 28.8% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 29.5% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Burnley - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.27)
    3.31
    (3.3)
    2.29
    (2.26)
    3.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 24.7%56.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.
    • Burnley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Gray H. (Hip Injury) James D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Gnonto W. (Calf Injury) Okafor N. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Leeds United were as follows:
    27.01.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    14.09.2024 Leeds United - Burnley 0:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1
    23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal861115:31219
    2Manchester City851217:61116
    3Liverpool850314:11315
    4Bournemouth843114:11315
    5Chelsea842216:9714
    6Tottenham842214:7714
    7Sunderland84229:6314
    8Crystal Palace834112:8413
    9Manchester Utd841311:12-113
    10Brighton833212:11112
    11Aston Villa83328:8012
    12Everton83239:9011
    13Brentford831411:12-110
    14Newcastle82337:709
    15Fulham82248:12-48
    16Leeds82247:13-68
    17Burnley82159:15-67
    18Nottingham81255:15-105
    19West Ham81166:18-124
    20Wolves80265:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship