Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (265/329) | 85% (416/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (265/329) | 85% (416/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 59% (26/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (54/74) | 71% (111/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Khlan M. ⚽, Sow O. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Sow O. ⚽,
- 38', Pankov R. 🟨,
- 43', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 46', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 72', Kapustka B. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 72', Reca A. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 83', Khlan M. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Sow O. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽, Urbanski K. (A),
- 90+4', Liseth S. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 90+7', Sow O. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
36.2% | Draw
29.6% | Legia Warsaw
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.65) |
3.35 ↓
(3.37) |
3 ↑
(2.55) |
0.5%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Legia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 0.
- Górnik Zabrze is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Legia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Goncalves C.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Legia Warsaw?
Górnik Zabrze has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Górnik Zabrze?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
06.04.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
28.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
01.04.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
1:3
24.09.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
04.03.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
