Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze).

Ekstraklasa - Round 11
Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Ukraine	Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.37
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
81% (265/329)	85% (416/491)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	1.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.46	0.15
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
0	7
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
10	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
81% (265/329)	85% (416/491)
Long passes
50% (26/52)	59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
73% (54/74)	71% (111/156)
Crosses
33% (2/6)	23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.95
Throw-ins
15	26
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
48% (10/21)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
47	52
Clearances
37	14
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.15	2.46
Goals prevented
-0.85	-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Khlan M. ⚽, Sow O. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Sow O. ⚽,
38', Pankov R. 🟨,
43', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
46', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
72', Kapustka B. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
72', Reca A. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
83', Khlan M. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Sow O. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽, Urbanski K. (A),
90+4', Liseth S. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
90+7', Sow O. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Górnik Zabrze
36.2%

Draw
29.6%

Legia Warsaw
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.8%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.7%

36.7%

Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.65)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	3 ↑ (2.55)	0.5% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Legia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Górnik Zabrze (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Legia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 20%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 0.
Górnik Zabrze is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Legia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Legia Warsaw?

Górnik Zabrze has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Górnik Zabrze?

Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw were as follows:

06.04.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:2

28.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 1:1

01.04.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:3

24.09.2023 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 2:1

04.03.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 0:1

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

27.09.2025 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Legia II - Górnik Zabrze 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź 3:2 ✺

15.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

02.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	19	10	5	4	36:23	13	35
2	Wisla Plock	20	8	9	3	23:14	9	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	20	10	3	7	31:26	5	33
4	Zaglebie	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
5	Cracovia	20	8	7	5	27:22	5	31
6	Rakow	20	9	3	8	27:25	2	30
7	Lech Poznan	20	7	8	5	31:30	1	29
8	Radomiak Radom	19	7	6	6	35:30	5	27
9	Korona Kielce	20	7	6	7	24:22	2	27
10	Piast Gliwice	20	7	5	8	22:21	1	26
11	GKS Katowice	19	8	2	9	26:28	-2	26
12	Lechia Gdansk	20	8	5	7	41:39	2	24
13	Motor Lublin	20	5	9	6	26:33	-7	24
14	Pogon Szczecin	20	6	4	10	30:35	-5	22
15	Arka Gdynia	19	6	4	9	17:34	-17	22
16	Legia	20	4	8	8	22:25	-3	20
17	Widzew Lodz	20	6	2	12	27:32	-5	20
18	Termalica B-B	20	5	5	10	25:37	-12	20

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1