Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 84% (422/505) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 84% (422/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 73% (88/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Wszolek P. 🟨,
- 30', Sadilek L. 🟨,
- 39', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Liseth S. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
- 61', Urbanski W. 🟨,
- 63', Ambros L. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
- 67', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 67', Urbanski W. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 70', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 75', Khlan M. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 79', Rajovic M. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Augustyniak R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Rajovic M. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 85', Szymanski D. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 85', Sadilek L. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
- 85', Janza E. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 85', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Bochniewicz P. ⚽, Rakoczy M. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
43.9% | Draw
28.6% | Górnik Zabrze
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.09) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
3.4 ↓
(3.41) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Legia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Legia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Legia: Colak A.
(Inactive)
Kapustka B.
(Injury)
Vinagre R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Legia: Pankov R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:28. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Górnik Zabrze?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Legia Warsaw?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
05.10.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
3:1
06.04.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
28.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
01.04.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Legia Warsaw
1:3
24.09.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
