Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (330/433) | 73% (263/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (330/433) | 73% (263/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (29/70) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/161) | 49% (30/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rajovic M. (Pen),
- 12', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
- 23', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 35', Huja M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Piatkowski K. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
- 64', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 65', Krasniqi E. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 65', Ali H. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 65', Przyborek A. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
- 68', Greenwood S. 🟨,
- 74', Keramitsis D. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
- 87', Juwara M. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,
- 87', Ndiaye M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 88', Elitim J. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 90+3', Reca A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
64.4% | Draw
20.4% | Pogoń Szczecin
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.61) |
4.89 ↑
(4.45) |
6.78 ↑
(4.66) |
2.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Goncalves C.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Legia Warsaw?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
02.05.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:4
28.03.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.09.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
02.03.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:1
27.09.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:4
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
