Result
1:2 ET
30/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Polish Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Reca A. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
- 60', Mukairu P. ↓, Molnar R. ↑,
- 66', Goncalves C. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
- 66', Urbanski K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 66', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 71', Grosicki K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Piatkowski K. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 83', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 86', Przyborek A. 🟨,
- 87', Greenwood S. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 88', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
- 88', Molnar R. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 96', Vinagre R. 🟨,
- 99', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 106', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
- 106', Stojanovic P. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
- 106', Ulvestad F. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 112', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
- 117', 1 - 2, Przyborek A. ⚽, Juwara M. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
56.5% | Draw
25% | Pogoń Szczecin
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.83) |
3.69 ↑
(3.29) |
4.99 ↑
(3.72) |
8.3%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
- Recent form of Legia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Legia Warsaw?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
28.09.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
02.05.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:4
28.03.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
20.09.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
02.03.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Tychy | |
| 3 | Wikielec | Bye | |
| 4 | Podbeskidzie | R. Rzeszow | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Bye | |
| 6 | Hutnik Krakow | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bytom Odrzanski | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wisla | |
| 9 | Andrychow | Bye | |
| 10 | Chojniczanka | Bielsko-Biala | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Legnica II | Bye | |
| 12 | Swit Szczecin | LKS Lodz II | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Ozimek | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Pruszkow | |
| 15 | S. Rzeszow | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Korona Kielce | |
| 17 | LKS Lomza | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Odra Opole | |
| 19 | Korona Kielce II | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Piast Gliwice | |
| 21 | Gryf Slupsk | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Polonia Warszawa | |
| 24 | Bye | Lech Poznan | |
| 25 | Stal Mielec | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Puszcza | |
| 27 | Grodzisk M. | Wisla Pulawy | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Lechia Gdansk | |
| 29 | Arka Gdynia | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Motor Lublin | |
| 31 | Legia II | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Gornik Zabrze | |
| 33 | Avia Swidnik | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Ruch Chorzow | |
| 35 | Swinoujscie | Bye | |
| 36 | KKS Kalisz | GKS Jastrzebie | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | Bye | |
| 38 | S. Wola | Skra | 3 : 1 |
| 39 | Warta Poznan | Olimpia Elblag | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Polonia Bytom | Zaglebie II | 7 : 1 |
| 41 | Sroda | Bye | |
| 42 | Wieczysta Krakow | Ol. Grudziadz | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | T. Mazowiecki | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Slask Wroclaw | |
| 45 | Rakow | Bye | |
| 47 | Leczna | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cracovia | |
| 49 | LKS Lodz | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Chrobry Glogow | |
| 51 | GKS Katowice | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Wisla Plock | |
| 53 | Legnica | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Pogon Siedlce | |
| 56 | Bye | Jagiellonia | |
| 57 | Legia | Bye | |
| 59 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Pogon Szczecin | |
| 61 | Termalica B-B. | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Widzew Lodz | |
| 63 | Radomiak Radom | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Zaglebie | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Tychy | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wikielec | Podbeskidzie | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Hutnik Krakow | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bytom Odrzanski | Wisla | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Andrychow | Chojniczanka | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Legnica II | Swit Szczecin | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Ozimek | Pruszkow | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | S. Rzeszow | Korona Kielce | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | LKS Lomza | Odra Opole | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | Piast Gliwice | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Gryf Slupsk | Polonia Warszawa | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Lech Poznan | |
| 13 | Stal Mielec | Puszcza | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Grodzisk M. | Lechia Gdansk | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | Motor Lublin | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Legia II | Gornik Zabrze | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Avia Swidnik | Ruch Chorzow | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Swinoujscie | GKS Jastrzebie | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | S. Wola | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Warta Poznan | Polonia Bytom | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Sroda | Ol. Grudziadz | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | T. Mazowiecki | Slask Wroclaw | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Rakow | Bye | |
| 24 | Leczna | Cracovia | 1 : 5 |
| 25 | LKS Lodz | Chrobry Glogow | 5 : 3 |
| 26 | GKS Katowice | Wisla Plock | 4 : 2 |
| 27 | Legnica | Pogon Siedlce | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Jagiellonia | |
| 29 | Legia | Bye | |
| 30 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | Pogon Szczecin | 0 : 3 |
| 31 | Termalica B-B. | Widzew Lodz | 2 : 3 |
| 32 | Radomiak Radom | Zaglebie | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Wikielec | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hutnik Krakow | Wisla | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Chojniczanka | Swit Szczecin | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Pruszkow | Korona Kielce | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Odra Opole | Piast Gliwice | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Gryf Slupsk | Lech Poznan | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Puszcza | Lechia Gdansk | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Arka Gdynia | Gornik Zabrze | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Avia Swidnik | Swinoujscie | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | Polonia Bytom | 0 : 7 |
| 11 | Ol. Grudziadz | Slask Wroclaw | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Rakow | Cracovia | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | LKS Lodz | GKS Katowice | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Legnica | Jagiellonia | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Legia | Pogon Szczecin | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | Zaglebie | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Wisla | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Chojniczanka | Korona Kielce | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Piast Gliwice | Lech Poznan | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | Gornik Zabrze | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | Polonia Bytom | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | Rakow | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | Jagiellonia | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | Widzew Lodz | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Chojniczanka | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | Gornik Zabrze | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Avia Swidnik | Rakow | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | GKS Katowice | Widzew Lodz | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Gornik Zabrze | |
| 2 | Rakow | GKS Katowice | |
Final
