Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Cup Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw
Result
3:4
02/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - Final
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP 1, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
78
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
45
Corner Kicks
78
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
1418
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1711
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Luquinhas , Morishita R. (A),
  • 24', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
  • 24', Gual M. (Pen),
  • 25', Leo Borges 🟨,
  • 28', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 34', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Loncar D. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 45', Gamboa J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Morishita R. ,
  • 55', Wszolek P. , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 61', Goncalves C. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 61', Gual M. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 61', Gamboa J. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Shkurin I. , Morishita R. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 3, Koulouris E. , Koutris L. (A),
  • 83', Elitim J. , Augustyniak R. ,
  • 83', Luquinhas , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 85', 2 - 4, Vinagre R. ,
  • 86', Ulvestad F. , Klukowski A. ,
  • 86', Przyborek A. , Paryzek P. ,
  • 86', Koutris L. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 4, Smolinski K. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
30.9%
Draw
27.2%
Legia Warsaw
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 27.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.1% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.67)
    3.42
    (3.44)
    2.22
    (2.5)
    7.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - PGE Narodowy./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
    • Pogoń Szczecin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Legia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0
    20.09.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    02.03.2024 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:1
    27.09.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 3:4
    07.05.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze
    10OzimekPruszkow
    11LecznaCracovia
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie
    22ZawiszaTychy
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz
    24AndrychowChojniczanka
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow
    28Stal MielecPuszcza