Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Leioa 59.9% | Draw 23.9% | Eibar C 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Eibar C aligns with the current prediction.
Leioa - Eibar C Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.53) |
3.8 (3.8) |
5.63 ↑ (5.5) |
10% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Eibar C's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Leioa is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Leioa will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Eibar C?
Leioa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eibar C won against Leioa?
Eibar C has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Eibar C were as follows:
26.10.2025
Eibar C
-
Leioa
0:1
10.05.2025
Eibar C
-
Leioa
2:5
12.01.2025
Leioa
-
Eibar C
3:0
Latest results of Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation