Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/04/2024 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 30
 
                                                - Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports | 
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport | 
 Croatia | Arena Sport | 
 Cyprus | Nova Sports | 
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5 | 
 Greece | Nova Sports | 
 Italy | Sky Sport | 
 Poland | Canal+ Sport 5 | 
 Serbia | Arena Sport | 
 Slovakia | Voyo | 
 Slovenia | Arena Sport | 
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.65 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 15 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 20 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 17 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Total Passes | 
|---|
| 432 | 474 | 
| Completed Passes | 
|---|
| 350 | 372 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 12 | 23 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 107 | 100 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 50 | 37 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Crosses Completed | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 15 | 7 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 3', 1 - 0, Sotoca F. (Pen), 
 - 18', Gastien J. 🟨, 
 - 40', Rashani E. 🟨, 
 - 45', Keita H. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 54', Machado D. 🟨, 
 - 62', Virginius A. ↓, Kyei G. ↑, 
 - 63', Keita H. ↓, Bela J. ↑, 
 - 77', Fulgini A. ↓, Pereira da Costa D. ↑, 
 - 79', Magnin Y. 🟨, 
 - 85', Machado D. ↓, Haidara M. ↑, 
 - 86', Muhammed Cham ↓, Boutobba B. ↑, 
 - 89', Wahi E. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Lens  70.3% | Draw  18.9% | Clermont  10.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lens - Clermont Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.36 ↓ (1.42) | 
			   5.11 ↑ (4.44) | 
			   8.92 ↑ (7.95) | 
			   4.1% (5.6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Lens - Clermont?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            35 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Clermont will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 53.2% – 84%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 5. 
 - Lens is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Recent matches Clermont is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Clermont could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
 - In this match Lens is indisputable favorite.
 - There will not play in Lens: Abdul Samed S.
(Ankle Injury)
Cabot J.
(Knee Injury)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Thigh Injury)
 - There will not play in Clermont: Allevinah J.
(Injury)
Berkani S.
(Injury)
Caufriez M.
(Suspended)
Gonalons M.
(Injury)
Konate C. O.
(Injury)
Mabrouk A.
(Injury)
 - Last 20 head-to-head matches Lens won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-18. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Clermont?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lens has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Lens?
                    
                    
                        
                             Clermont has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Clermont were as follows:
                                                        
                                25.11.2023 
                                Clermont 
                                - 
                                Lens 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.03.2023 
                                Clermont 
                                - 
                                Lens 
                                0:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.11.2022 
                                Lens 
                                - 
                                Clermont 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Clermont                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | PSG | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 24 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 | 
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 | 
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | 
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 | 
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 | 
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 | 
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | 
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 | 
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | 
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 9 | 
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 8 | 
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2