Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
69% | 31% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
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88% (563/637) | 80% (241/302) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.29 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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75 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
88% (563/637) | 80% (241/302) |
Long passes |
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48% (11/23) | 36% (16/45) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (228/282) | 62% (26/42) |
Crosses |
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22% (8/36) | 33% (1/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.46 | 0.19 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 37 |
Clearances |
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9 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 0.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.95 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Niakhate M. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
- 45+2', Fofana M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Mendy N. 🟨,
- 64', Machado D. 🟨,
- 70', Pouilly T. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
- 70', Koyalipou G. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
- 71', Diouf A. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 71', Matic N. ↓, Gomes Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Clinton Mata (A),
- 85', 1 - 2, Zaroury A. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
- 88', Tolisso C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
- 89', Medina F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mendy N. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon 65.3% | Draw 19% | Lens 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lyon - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.9) |
4.99 ↑ (3.99) |
6.08 ↑ (3.71) |
4.9% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lyon - Lens?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 43 - 78.2%). Lens will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.3% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lyon: Lacazette A.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Knee Injury)
Petric D.
(Back Injury)
Sotoca F.
(Red Card)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lens?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lyon?
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lens were as follows:
15.09.2024
Lens
-
Lyon
0:0
03.03.2024
Lyon
-
Lens
0:3
02.12.2023
Lens
-
Lyon
3:2
12.02.2023
Lyon
-
Lens
2:1
02.10.2022
Lens
-
Lyon
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2