Lyon vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lyon - Lens
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.72
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
88% (563/637)80% (241/302)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.05
Total shots
188
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
7510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
88% (563/637)80% (241/302)
Long passes
48% (11/23)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
81% (228/282)62% (26/42)
Crosses
22% (8/36)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.460.19
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
812
Tackles
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4437
Clearances
952
Interceptions
818
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.050.29
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Niakhate M. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Koyalipou G. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 45+2', Fofana M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 64', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 70', Pouilly T. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
  • 70', Koyalipou G. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
  • 71', Diouf A. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
  • 71', Matic N. ↓, Gomes Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Clinton Mata (A),
  • 85', 1 - 2, Zaroury A. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
  • 88', Tolisso C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
  • 89', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mendy N. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lyon
65.3%		Draw
19%		Lens
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 23.9% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 24.5% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Lyon - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↓
    (1.9)    		 4.99 ↑
    (3.99)    		 6.08 ↑
    (3.71)    		 4.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Lyon - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 43 - 78.2%). Lens will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.3% – 89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Lacazette A. (Yellow Cards) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Hamstring Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury) Sotoca F. (Red Card)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lens were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Lens - Lyon 0:0
    03.03.2024 Lyon - Lens 0:3
    02.12.2023 Lens - Lyon 3:2
    12.02.2023 Lyon - Lens 2:1
    02.10.2022 Lens - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1 ✺
    17.04.2025 Manchester United - Lyon 5:4 ✺
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4 ✺
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3 ✺
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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