Lyon vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
05/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
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romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
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usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.841.82
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
67
Passes
85% (459/538)75% (276/367)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.841.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.98
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
711
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1432
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1610
Passes
85% (459/538)75% (276/367)
Long passes
40% (16/40)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
67% (68/102)66% (66/100)
Crosses
33% (4/12)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.12
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
1016
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5546
Clearances
2116
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.981.05
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Thauvin F. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Sima A. , Thauvin F. (A),
  • 45+3', Edouard O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 59', Tagliafico N. , Himbert R. ,
  • 64', Masuaku A. 🟥,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Yaremchuk R. , Himbert R. (A),
  • 69', Maitland-Niles A. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 78', Celik N. 🟨,
  • 78', Edouard O. , Haidara A. ,
  • 87', Nartey N. , Karabec A. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Himbert R. , Tolisso C. (A),
  • 90+6', Sima A. , Fofana R. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Karabec A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Fofana R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Tolisso C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Abdulhamid S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Morton T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Udol M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Niakhate M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sangare M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Endrick (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Lyon
35.6%
Draw
27.4%
Lens
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 27% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 27.1% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Lyon - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.39)
    3.44
    (3.45)
    2.56
    (2.75)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lyon - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Lens will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 37.5%71.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 4 - 50%). Lens (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Lens (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Lyon (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lyon (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Lyon (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 8 - 50%). Lens (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lyon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Inactive) Moreira A. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lens were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Lens - Lyon 0:1
    04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2
    15.09.2024 Lens - Lyon 0:0
    03.03.2024 Lyon - Lens 0:3
    02.12.2023 Lens - Lyon 3:2
    Latest results of Lyon
    01.03.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2
    22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3:1
    15.02.2026 Lyon - Nice 2:0
    07.02.2026 Nantes - Lyon 0:1
    04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0
    Latest results of Lens
    27.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lens 1:1
    21.02.2026 Lens - Monaco 2:3
    14.02.2026 Paris FC - Lens 0:5
    07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3:1
    04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse