Result
3:1
07/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/435) | 85% (339/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/435) | 85% (339/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (29/58) | 76% (26/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 83% (87/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Nordin A. (A),
- 29', Ait Boudlal A. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 32', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 36', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Aguilar R. (A),
- 45', Embolo B. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sangare M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, Aguilar R. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
- 56', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 60', Baidoo S. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
- 61', Edouard O. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 61', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 61', Nordin A. 🟨,
- 64', Szymanski S. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 64', Rouault A. ↓, Brassier L. ↑,
- 64', Nordin A. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 69', Jacquet J. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽, Risser R. (A),
- 78', Thauvin F. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 89', Sangare M. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lens
59.6% | Draw
22.1% | Rennes
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3%)
Lens - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.77) |
4.32 ↑
(3.8) |
5.23 ↑
(4.35) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lens - Rennes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lens (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lens (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(70 of 78 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 96.47%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (45 of 45 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 48 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 48 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.
- Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rennes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lens: Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Kamara G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Cisse D.
(Injury)
Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Zabiri Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Rennes?
Lens has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lens?
Rennes has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Rennes were as follows:
28.09.2025
Rennes
-
Lens
0:0
15.03.2025
Lens
-
Rennes
1:0
21.09.2024
Rennes
-
Lens
1:1
12.05.2024
Rennes
-
Lens
1:1
20.08.2023
Lens
-
Rennes
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
