Celaya vs Leones Negros 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
15/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, ,
  • 45', 3 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', 4 - 0, ,
  • 78', 5 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Celaya
46.4%
Draw
25.5%
Leones Negros 2
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 25.4% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 23.5% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celaya's performance.
  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celaya that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celaya - Leones Negros 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (3.02)
    3.59
    (3.62)
    3.27
    (2.08)
    9.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Celaya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leones Negros 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Celaya could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Celaya
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya0 : 5

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2