Leonesa vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.57
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
82% (358/434)77% (294/381)
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.143.52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (358/434)77% (294/381)
Long passes
43% (23/54)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)69% (86/125)
Crosses
33% (2/6)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.68
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1511
Tackles
68% (17/25)83% (15/18)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
209
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
3.520.14
Goals prevented
0.52-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Calatrava A. ,
  • 11', 0 - 2, Barri ,
  • 13', Fornos Q. , Ribeiro T. ,
  • 23', Jakobsen A. 🟨,
  • 33', Alcazar 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Barri 🟨,
  • 55', Ronaldo 🟨,
  • 57', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 57', Ronaldo , Gerenabarrena B. ,
  • 58', Alcazar , Ruiz S. ,
  • 61', Diallo Selu M. , Cortes P. ,
  • 61', Pibe , Justo M. ,
  • 61', Sobrino R. , Mboula J. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Justo M. ,
  • 66', Sienra A. , Brignani F. ,
  • 67', Barri , Doue M. ,
  • 78', Santiago P. , Mamah K. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Mamah K. , Calatrava A. (A),
  • 86', Hinojo R. , Larios J. ,
  • 87', Justo M. 🟨,
  • 89', Calero I. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Matthys R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpe4tthn

Chances of winning


Leonesa
17%
Draw
23.3%
Castellón
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.2% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 25.2% 37.7%

Leonesa - Castellón Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.45
(2.7)
5.18
(3.57)
1.92
(2.38)
-15.1%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Leonesa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Leonesa (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation