Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/434) | 77% (294/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/434) | 77% (294/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 69% (86/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽,
- 11', 0 - 2, Barri ⚽,
- 13', Fornos Q. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
- 23', Jakobsen A. 🟨,
- 33', Alcazar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Barri 🟨,
- 55', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 57', Ojeda T. 🟨,
- 57', Ronaldo ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
- 58', Alcazar ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 61', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
- 61', Pibe ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 61', Sobrino R. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Justo M. ⚽,
- 66', Sienra A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 67', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 78', Santiago P. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Mamah K. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
- 86', Hinojo R. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
- 87', Justo M. 🟨,
- 89', Calero I. 🟥,
- 90+1', Matthys R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Jimenez A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mpe4tthn
Chances of winning
Leonesa
17% | Draw
23.3% | Castellón
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+19%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-22.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leonesa - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.45 ↑
(2.7) |
5.18 ↑
(3.57) |
1.92 ↓
(2.38) |
-15.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Leonesa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Leonesa (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Castellón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Leonesa: Maestre S.
(Knee Injury)
Satrustegui E.
(Knee Injury)
Tresaco R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Castellón?
Leonesa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Leonesa?
Castellón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Castellón were as follows:
Latest results of Leonesa
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
