Leonesa vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.57
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
82% (358/434)77% (294/381)
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.143.52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (358/434)77% (294/381)
Long passes
43% (23/54)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)69% (86/125)
Crosses
33% (2/6)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.68
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1511
Tackles
68% (17/25)83% (15/18)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
209
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
3.520.14
Goals prevented
0.52-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Calatrava A. ,
  • 11', 0 - 2, Barri ,
  • 13', Fornos Q. , Ribeiro T. ,
  • 23', Jakobsen A. 🟨,
  • 33', Alcazar 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Barri 🟨,
  • 55', Ronaldo 🟨,
  • 57', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 57', Ronaldo , Gerenabarrena B. ,
  • 58', Alcazar , Ruiz S. ,
  • 61', Diallo Selu M. , Cortes P. ,
  • 61', Pibe , Justo M. ,
  • 61', Sobrino R. , Mboula J. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Justo M. ,
  • 66', Sienra A. , Brignani F. ,
  • 67', Barri , Doue M. ,
  • 78', Santiago P. , Mamah K. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Mamah K. , Calatrava A. (A),
  • 86', Hinojo R. , Larios J. ,
  • 87', Justo M. 🟨,
  • 89', Calero I. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Matthys R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpe4tthn

Chances of winning


Leonesa
17%
Draw
23.3%
Castellón
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.2% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 25.2% 37.7%

Leonesa - Castellón Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.45
(2.7)
5.18
(3.57)
1.92
(2.38)
-15.1%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Leonesa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Leonesa (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

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