Result
1:3
22/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 25
- Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
- 24', 0 - 2, Vallik V. ⚽,
- 29', Agyiri E. 🟨,
- 32', Musaba R. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 36', 0 - 3, Pajo T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Liivak F. ↓, Tur E. ↑,
- 46', Mavretic T. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
- 46', Agyiri E. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 58', Kapper S. 🟨,
- 72', Torres C. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 3, Villota M. (Own goal),
- 78', Roosnupp M. ↓, Skvortsov M. ↑,
- 85', Vallik V. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 90', Paalberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Levadia Tallinn
71.2% | Draw
17.7% | Pärnu Vaprus
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn's performance.Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.45) |
5.35 ↑
(4.7) |
8.51 ↑
(5.31) |
5.7%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia: 72.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Levadia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Levadia is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Levadia will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:10. (average 3.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Levadia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:6. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Levadia Tallinn won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Levadia Tallinn has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Levadia Tallinn?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
28.05.2025
Levadia Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:2
15.03.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Levadia Tallinn
1:2
22.09.2024
Levadia Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:1
10.08.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Levadia Tallinn
1:4
19.05.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Levadia Tallinn
0:2
Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 70:30 | 40 | 63 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 50:28 | 22 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Narva | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 49:39 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 24 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 30 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 37:69 | -32 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 25:89 | -64 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
