Levadia Tallinn vs Pärnu Vaprus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Meistriliiga Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus
Result
1:3
22/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 25
  • Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
134
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
316
Shots on target
134
Shots off target
182
Corner Kicks
111
Goalkeeper Saves
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. , Pajo T. (A),
  • 24', 0 - 2, Vallik V. ,
  • 29', Agyiri E. 🟨,
  • 32', Musaba R. , Wendell ,
  • 36', 0 - 3, Pajo T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Liivak F. , Tur E. ,
  • 46', Mavretic T. , Torres C. ,
  • 46', Agyiri E. , Kirss R. ,
  • 58', Kapper S. 🟨,
  • 72', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Villota M. (Own goal),
  • 78', Roosnupp M. , Skvortsov M. ,
  • 85', Vallik V. , Kauber K. ,
  • 90', Paalberg M. , Poder J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Levadia Tallinn
71.2%
Draw
17.7%
Pärnu Vaprus
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 19.5% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 18.5% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn's performance.
  • Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.45)
    5.35
    (4.7)
    8.51
    (5.31)
    5.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia: 72.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Levadia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Levadia is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Levadia will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:10. (average 3.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levadia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:6. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus 2:2
    15.03.2025 Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn 1:2
    22.09.2024 Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus 3:1
    10.08.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn 1:4
    19.05.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn 0:2
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia25192463:214259
    2Flora25183455:213457
    3Paide26163743:222151
    4Kalju25152850:292147
    5Narva26143946:331345
    6Parnu JK Vaprus26116945:341139
    7Tammeka26711833:60-2722
    8Harju JK Laagri25541627:53-2619
    9Kuressaare26521925:55-3017
    10Tallinna Kalev26422024:83-5914

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