Loudoun United vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Segra Field (Leesburg, VA).

USL Championship
Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	0.41
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
9	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
86% (366/426)	86% (309/360)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.67	0.77
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
9	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
25	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	12
Passes
86% (366/426)	86% (309/360)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)	70% (42/60)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	0.27
Throw-ins
22	15
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
100% (16/16)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
41	38
Clearances
7	18
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.77	2.67
Goals prevented
-0.23	-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
25', Mines B. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Valot F. ⚽, Santos P. (A),
42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Turner C. ↓, Awuah K. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Valot F. (A),
63', Djeffal S. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
64', Goldthorp E. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
64', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
69', Mines B. ↓, Skundrich D. ↑,
73', Lancaster C. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. ⚽, Ryan Z. (A),
84', McCabe T. ↓, Pendleton E. ↑,
84', Leggett W. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning

Loudoun United
53.8%

Draw
23.8%

Lexington
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Loudoun United - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	4.14 ↓ (4.81)	7.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Lexington?

Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Loudoun United?

Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:

26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1

Latest results of Loudoun United

03.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Lexington - Las Vegas Lights 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Lexington 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	21	14	6	1	42:17	25	48
2	Charleston	20	14	2	4	41:21	20	44
3	North Carolina	20	10	3	7	31:27	4	33
4	Loudoun	20	9	4	7	31:29	2	31
5	Pittsburgh	21	7	7	7	20:19	1	28
6	Detroit	21	7	7	7	24:24	0	28
7	Hartford Athletic	20	7	5	8	29:23	6	26
8	Indy Eleven	20	6	5	9	32:37	-5	23
9	Rhode Island	21	5	6	10	15:23	-8	21
10	Miami FC	21	5	5	11	21:34	-13	20
11	Birmingham	21	4	8	9	24:33	-9	20
12	Tampa Bay	20	5	3	12	22:31	-9	18

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	21	12	6	3	37:23	14	42
2	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	29:17	12	31
3	El Paso	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
4	San Antonio	20	8	5	7	25:26	-1	29
5	Phoenix Rising	21	7	7	7	35:37	-2	28
6	Lexington	21	7	7	7	23:27	-4	28
7	Orange County SC	19	8	3	8	28:25	3	27
8	New Mexico	19	8	3	8	26:28	-2	27
9	Colorado Springs	20	6	6	8	25:29	-4	24
10	Monterey Bay	22	6	6	10	23:29	-6	24
11	Oakland Roots	20	6	3	11	24:32	-8	21
12	Las Vegas Lights	21	5	5	11	17:39	-22	20

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )