Result
5:1
10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/426) | 86% (309/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/426) | 86% (309/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (89/124) | 70% (42/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (16/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -2.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
- 25', Mines B. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Valot F. ⚽, Santos P. (A),
- 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Turner C. ↓, Awuah K. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
- 56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Valot F. (A),
- 63', Djeffal S. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
- 64', Goldthorp E. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
- 64', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
- 69', Mines B. ↓, Skundrich D. ↑,
- 73', Lancaster C. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. ⚽, Ryan Z. (A),
- 84', McCabe T. ↓, Pendleton E. ↑,
- 84', Leggett W. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
53.8% | Draw
23.8% | Lexington
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Loudoun United - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.7) |
3.9 ↑
(3.5) |
4.14 ↓
(4.81) |
7.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Lexington?
Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Loudoun United?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lexington
-
Loudoun United
0:1
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
