Lexington vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Lexington - Tulsa
Result
0:2
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
Lexington - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.052.37
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
211
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (399/471)66% (163/247)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.052.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.26
Total shots
211
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
15
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
85% (399/471)66% (163/247)
Long passes
45% (24/53)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
66% (65/98)49% (46/94)
Crosses
13% (2/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.64
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
1916
Tackles
82% (9/11)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5563
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
2.260.00
Goals prevented
0.260.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Toure A. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 69', Greene J. 🟨,
  • 72', Goldthorp E. , Rodrigues B. P. ,
  • 72', Burke C. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. 🟨,
  • 74', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 82', Williams D. , Barbir D. ,
  • 89', Colli G. 🟨,
  • 90', Greene J. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Batista L. , Damm O. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
43.7%
Draw
27.1%
Tulsa
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 29.9% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.
  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Lexington - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.55)
    3.4
    (3)
    3.15
    (2.75)
    8.7%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lexington - Tulsa?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tulsa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lexington could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Tulsa
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston16112333:151835
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1555519:20-120
    7Birmingham1746719:24-518
    8Miami FC1452715:20-517
    9Indy Eleven1445523:24-117
    10Rhode Island1544714:17-316
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1364317:11622
    5Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    6Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    7Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    10Oakland Roots1552816:23-717
    11Lexington1545616:22-617
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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