Tulsa vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tulsa - Lexington
Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.25
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Long passes
29% (19/65)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
56% (72/129)60% (42/70)
Crosses
36% (9/25)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.43
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
2112
Tackles
50% (5/10)100% (7/7)
Duels won
4258
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.250.98
Goals prevented
0.25-2.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 37', Ketterer L. 🟥,
  • 39', Blessing L. , Thompson B. ,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Webber J. ,
  • 43', Calheira T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 59', Zengue X. , Midence A. ,
  • 59', Ajago F. , Burke C. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Colli G. , Dalou A. (A),
  • 68', Cissoko A. , Sousa T. ,
  • 76', Epps M. , Henry-Scott M. ,
  • 78', Elmedkhar K. , Damm O. ,
  • 78', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 79', Webber J. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Webber J. , Colli G. (A),
  • 90+3', Colli G. , Pierre D. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
46.4%
Draw
26.5%
Lexington
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 25.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.8% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tulsa - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.77)
    3.48
    (3.58)
    3.41
    (4.19)
    8.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Lexington?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tulsa has had a series of away games.
    • Tulsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Lexington were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    27.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    20.09.2025 Oakland Roots - Tulsa 1:1
    13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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