Tulsa vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK).

USL Championship
Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.27
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
70% (199/284)	74% (282/379)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.25
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
11	3
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
37	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	21
Passes
70% (199/284)	74% (282/379)
Long passes
29% (19/65)	34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
56% (72/129)	60% (42/70)
Crosses
36% (9/25)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.99	0.43
Throw-ins
22	14
Fouls
21	12
Tackles
50% (5/10)	100% (7/7)
Duels won
42	58
Clearances
14	20
Interceptions
6	2
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.25	0.98
Goals prevented
0.25	-2.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Cissoko A. 🟨,
37', Ketterer L. 🟥,
39', Blessing L. ↓, Thompson B. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Webber J. ⚽,
43', Calheira T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', St.Clair H. 🟨,
59', Zengue X. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
59', Ajago F. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Colli G. ⚽, Dalou A. (A),
68', Cissoko A. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
76', Epps M. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
78', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
78', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
79', Webber J. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, Colli G. (A),
90+3', Colli G. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tulsa
46.4%

Draw
26.5%

Lexington
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tulsa - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)	3.41 ↓ (4.19)	8.5% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tulsa - Lexington?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Tulsa has had a series of away games.
Tulsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Lexington?

Tulsa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Tulsa?

Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Lexington were as follows:

18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2

Latest results of Tulsa

27.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Oakland Roots - Tulsa 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tulsa 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

28.09.2025 New Mexico United - Lexington 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Detroit City - Lexington 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Lexington - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺

05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Lexington 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

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