Result
0:2
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/471) | 66% (163/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/471) | 66% (163/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 49% (46/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Toure A. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
- 69', Greene J. 🟨,
- 72', Goldthorp E. ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
- 72', Burke C. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 73', Lancaster C. 🟨,
- 74', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 82', Williams D. ↓, Barbir D. ↑,
- 89', Colli G. 🟨,
- 90', Greene J. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Batista L. ⚽, Damm O. (A),
Chances of winning
Lexington
43.7% | Draw
27.1% | Tulsa
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Lexington - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.55) |
3.4 ↑
(3) |
3.15 ↑
(2.75) |
8.7%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - Tulsa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tulsa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lexington could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Tulsa?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Lexington?
Tulsa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Tulsa were as follows:
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
