Tulsa vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.25
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Long passes
29% (19/65)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
56% (72/129)60% (42/70)
Crosses
36% (9/25)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.43
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
2112
Tackles
50% (5/10)100% (7/7)
Duels won
4258
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.250.98
Goals prevented
0.25-2.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 37', Ketterer L. 🟥,
  • 39', Blessing L. ↓, Thompson B. ↑,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Webber J. ⚽,
  • 43', Calheira T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 59', Zengue X. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
  • 59', Ajago F. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Colli G. ⚽, Dalou A. (A),
  • 68', Cissoko A. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
  • 76', Epps M. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
  • 78', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
  • 78', Dalou A. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
  • 79', Webber J. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, Colli G. (A),
  • 90+3', Colli G. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
46.4%		Draw
26.5%		Lexington
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 25.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.8% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tulsa - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.77)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.58)    		 3.41 ↓
    (4.19)    		 8.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Lexington?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Tulsa (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tulsa has had a series of away games.
    • Tulsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Lexington were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    27.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    20.09.2025 Oakland Roots - Tulsa 1:1
    13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    30.08.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tulsa 2:0
    Latest results of Lexington
    28.09.2025 New Mexico United - Lexington 2:1
    20.09.2025 Detroit City - Lexington 0:1
    12.09.2025 Lexington - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺
    05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1
    30.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Lexington 1:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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