Tulsa vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tulsa - Lexington
Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.25
Total shots
144
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
70% (199/284)74% (282/379)
Long passes
29% (19/65)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
56% (72/129)60% (42/70)
Crosses
36% (9/25)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.43
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
2112
Tackles
50% (5/10)100% (7/7)
Duels won
4258
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.250.98
Goals prevented
0.25-2.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 37', Ketterer L. 🟥,
  • 39', Blessing L. , Thompson B. ,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Webber J. ,
  • 43', Calheira T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 59', Zengue X. , Midence A. ,
  • 59', Ajago F. , Burke C. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Colli G. , Dalou A. (A),
  • 68', Cissoko A. , Sousa T. ,
  • 76', Epps M. , Henry-Scott M. ,
  • 78', Elmedkhar K. , Damm O. ,
  • 78', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 79', Webber J. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Webber J. , Colli G. (A),
  • 90+3', Colli G. , Pierre D. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
46.4%
Draw
26.5%
Lexington
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 25.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.8% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tulsa - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.77)
    3.48
    (3.58)
    3.41
    (4.19)
    8.5%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - Lexington?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tulsa has had a series of away games.
    • Tulsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Lexington were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    27.09.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    20.09.2025 Oakland Roots - Tulsa 1:1
    13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )