Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (406/511) | 64% (182/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (406/511) | 64% (182/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/75) | 33% (25/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (89/140) | 59% (55/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Levitt D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Phillips A. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽,
- 58', Kelly P. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
- 58', Clare S. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 58', Happe D. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 3, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 66', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 67', Fawunmi F. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 67', O'Neill O. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
- 78', McGoldrick D. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 78', Phillips A. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
- 81', Levitt D. ↓, James T. ↑,
- 90+3', Abdulai A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
39% | Draw
26.9% | Barnsley
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+2%)
Leyton Orient - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.53) |
3.48 ↓
(3.59) |
2.74 ↑
(2.52) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 35.4% – 82.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
- Leyton Orient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barnsley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T.
(Inactive)
Earl J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Oluwayemi T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Barnsley?
Leyton Orient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Leyton Orient?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Barnsley were as follows:
13.12.2025
Barnsley
-
Leyton Orient
3:2
18.04.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Barnsley
4:3
21.12.2024
Barnsley
-
Leyton Orient
0:4
10.02.2024
Barnsley
-
Leyton Orient
2:1
21.10.2023
Leyton Orient
-
Barnsley
1:1
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
