Result
0:1
15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (179/262) | 84% (449/532) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (179/262) | 84% (449/532) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (40/77) | 71% (103/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 11', Villalba E. 🟨,
- 33', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rojas R. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 58', Sanabria L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 58', Fernandez J. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
- 70', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 70', Veliz A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 74', Carrizo F. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 1, Copetti E. ⚽, Coronel E. (A),
- 87', Pizarro V. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 87', Coronel E. ↓, Quintana C. ↑,
- 88', Viera D. ↓, Vera O. R. ↑,
- 90+6', Ibarra F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
20.9% | Draw
30.4% | Rosario Central
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.43 ↑
(2.87) |
3.09 ↓
(3.13) |
1.94 ↓
(2.46) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Libertad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rosario has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rosario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Mallo Blanco F.
(Inactive)
Raffin L.
(Inactive)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Libertad: Fernandez H.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Rosario Central?
Libertad Asuncion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Libertad Asuncion?
Rosario Central has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Rosario Central were as follows:
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Rosario Central
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
