Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/409) | 68% (198/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/409) | 68% (198/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 37% (22/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/144) | 50% (35/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Cardozo O. ⚽, Espinoza M. (A),
- 17', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Samudio A. ⚽, Barreto D. (A),
- 45+1', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Rojas R. 🟨,
- 64', Sanabria L. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 64', Cardozo O. ↓, Acuna O. ↑,
- 64', Campuzano A. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
- 70', Ocampos C. ↓, Escobar R. ↑,
- 77', Aranda S. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 87', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 88', Samudio A. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 88', Barreto D. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Baez F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
56.5% | Draw
26.3% | Sportivo Ameliano
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.75) |
3.72 ↑
(3.53) |
5.96 ↑
(4.54) |
3.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- In this match, Libertad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:11. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Libertad Asuncion has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
04.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:4
27.04.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
16.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
25.10.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
22.08.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
