Result
27/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
31.6% | Draw
28.3% | Libertad Asuncion
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94
(2.94) |
3.28 ↓
(3.38) |
2.32 ↑
(2.3) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1.
- Sportivo Ameliano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Libertad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:34. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Libertad Asuncion has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
28.01.2026
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
18.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
04.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:4
27.04.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
16.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
