Result
2:0
27/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/440) | 74% (265/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/440) | 74% (265/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/106) | 50% (54/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 23', Falabella A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Molinas A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Falabella A. ⚽, Ocampos C. (A),
- 62', Fernandez M. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 62', Carrizo F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 62', Ocampos C. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 62', Aranda S. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 67', Cabral R. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 68', Ayala L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 69', Delvalle S. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 74', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 76', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 78', Larralde V. ↓, Contrera A. ↑,
- 79', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Contrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
27.7% | Draw
29.5% | Libertad Asuncion
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.94) |
3.16 ↓
(3.38) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1.
- Recent performances by Sportivo Ameliano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Libertad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Libertad could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:34. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Libertad Asuncion has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
28.01.2026
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
18.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
04.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:4
27.04.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
16.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10:21 | -11 | 15 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
