Result
1:0
28/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 2
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/473) | 81% (321/396) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/473) | 81% (321/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (59/92) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Gimenez N. ⚽, Viera D. (A),
- 45+2', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aranda P. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 46', Vera R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 58', Espinoza Acosta M. D. 🟨,
- 59', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
- 61', Sanguina J. ↓, Escobar R. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez W. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 68', Martinez H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 68', Melgarejo L. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 68', Ayala L. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 70', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 73', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 78', Larralde V. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez H. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
56.1% | Draw
27.4% | Sportivo Ameliano
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.49) |
3.38 ↓
(4) |
5.54 ↓
(6.25) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Libertad (2.04) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 50%). Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Libertad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Libertad Asuncion has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
18.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
04.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:4
27.04.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
16.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
25.10.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
