Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        31/08/2025 at  17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Honduras | Deportes TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Fiallos J. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hurtado L. ↓, Canales C. ↑, 
- 46', Villafranca J. ↓, Rocca R. ↑, 
- 48', 0 - 1, Pena K. ⚽, 
- 56', Lacayo J. 🟨, 
- 61', Pena K. ↓, Martinez G. ↑, 
- 63', Garrido L. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑, 
- 77', Fiallos J. ↓, Ardon C. ↑, 
- 78', Gutierrez C. ↓, Morales M. ↑, 
- 78', Hernandez A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑, 
- 78', Altamirano C. ↓, Guity E. ↑, 
- 79', Lacayo J. ↓, Mendoza O. ↑, 
- 81', 0 - 2, Morales M. ⚽, 
- 87', Lopez E. 🟨, 
- 88', Moreira R. ↓, Padilla J. ↑, 
- 89', Matute K. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Juticalpa 43.9%
 | Draw 27.4%
 | Lobos UPNFM 28.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.07 ↓ (2.31)
 | 3.31 ↓ (3.32)
 | 3.16 ↑ (2.74)
 | 10.3% (9.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Juticalpa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%). 
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 2.
- Juticalpa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lobos UPNFM has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juticalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Juticalpa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
                    
                    
                        
                            Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Juticalpa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                - 
                                Juticalpa 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.01.2025 
                                Juticalpa 
                                - 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.11.2024 
                                Juticalpa 
                                - 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.08.2024 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                - 
                                Juticalpa 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Juticalpa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lobos UPNFM                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 | 
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 | 
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 | 
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 | 
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 | 
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 | 
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 | 
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )