Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Canales M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodas Andrino G. J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez A. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 62', Moreira R. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 62', Ruiz J. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez R. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
- 62', Medrano Y. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 69', Alzate S. 🟨,
- 72', Rochez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 78', Lacayo J. 🟨,
- 81', Canales M. ↓, Mendoza O. ↑,
- 81', Altamirano C. ↓, Matute K. ↑,
- 83', Pena K. 🟨,
- 84', Guity A. 🟨,
- 86', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
59% | Draw
24.8% | Juticalpa
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lobos UPNFM's performance.Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juticalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lobos UPNFM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.05) |
4.07 ↑
(3.61) |
6.19 ↑
(3.29) |
-0.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Juticalpa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lobos UPNFM: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Lobos UPNFM (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB, 1st Half - Lobos UPNFM (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Lobos UPNFM (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lobos UPNFM could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 3.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Juticalpa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa were as follows:
31.08.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:2
29.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
1:0
29.01.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:0
06.11.2024
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:0
31.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
4:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
