Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', Herrlein L. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Villafranca J. ⚽,
- 16', Lopez L. 🟨,
- 37', Galindo F. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Lacayo J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Villafranca J. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
- 46', Lopez L. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 46', Castillo M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Herrlein L. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 52', Lacayo J. 🟨,
- 55', Fajardo A. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Pena K. ⚽,
- 66', Lacayo J. ↓, Altamirano C. ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 69', Galindo A. 🟨,
- 77', Canales M. ↓, Centeno J. ↑,
- 78', Silva F. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 2, Moreira R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
58.8% | Draw
21.7% | Juticalpa
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.62) |
4.23 ↑
(3.8) |
4.71 ↓
(4.82) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Lobos UPNFM (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3.
- Lobos UPNFM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juticalpa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lobos UPNFM is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Juticalpa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa were as follows:
22.11.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
1:0
31.08.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:2
29.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Juticalpa
1:0
29.01.2025
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:0
06.11.2024
Juticalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:0
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Olancho | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Marathon | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
