Result
3:5
04/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 3.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (310/406) | 73% (245/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 3.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 2.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (310/406) | 73% (245/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (101/154) | 69% (61/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.83 | 3.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.17 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Prutsev D. ⚽, Vorobyev D. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 1, Bitello ⚽, Sergeev I. (A),
- 42', Caceres J. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 2, Batrakov A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 58', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 60', Rubens ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 77', Maouhoub E. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
- 77', Glebov D. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
- 80', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 4, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
- 85', 3 - 4, Osipenko M. (Pen),
- 89', Sergeev I. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 5, Rudenko A. ⚽,
- 90+5', Vorobyev D. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Moscow
49.6% | Draw
25% | Lokomotiv Moscow
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Moscow's performance.Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.18) |
3.85 ↑
(3.5) |
3.8 ↑
(3.05) |
3.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 3.
- Dynamo M is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.
- Dynamo M might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Dynamo Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
15.03.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:1
28.11.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
0:2
05.11.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
27.07.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
03.03.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:1
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29:16 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Zenit | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Baltika | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
