Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Doran A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wilson C. ↓, Lynch L. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Ferry P. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 2, Ugbesia S. ⚽,
- 64', Topcu E. 🟨,
- 73', Hand O. 🟨,
- 74', O'Connor E. ↓, Kozlowski N. ↑,
- 74', Byrne M. ↓, Lawlor R. ↑,
- 79', George D. ↓, Norris D. ↑,
- 79', Ugbesia S. ↓, James E. ↑,
- 83', Conroy C. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
- 90', Doran A. ↓, Walsh A. ↑,
- 90', Martin E. ↓, Vrljicak T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Treaty United
48.4% | Draw
27.4% | Longford Town
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Longford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treaty United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Treaty United - Longford Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.84) |
3.4 ↓
(3.83) |
3.85 ↑
(3.72) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Treaty United - Longford Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Treaty United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Treaty United is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Longford Town?
Treaty United has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Longford Town won against Treaty United?
Longford Town has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Longford Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Longford Town
-
Treaty United
2:0
23.05.2025
Treaty United
-
Longford Town
5:1
29.03.2025
Longford Town
-
Treaty United
2:0
27.09.2024
Treaty United
-
Longford Town
3:1
10.08.2024
Longford Town
-
Treaty United
1:4
Latest results of Treaty United
Latest results of Longford Town
Irish Division 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundalk | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 69:30 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 68:33 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Bray ✔ | 34 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 57:50 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | UC Dublin ✔ | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:35 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Treaty United | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47:47 | 0 | 42 |
| 6 | Wexford | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 41 |
| 7 | Longford | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:57 | -19 | 39 |
| 8 | Finn Harps | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Kerry | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Athlone | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26:65 | -39 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bray is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )
UC Dublin is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )
