Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Roma Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev
Result
2:0
13/05/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
63%60%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (28/37)71% (25/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (15/22)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
34% (12/35)35% (13/37)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)32% (7/22)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)33% (1/3)
Winners
1812
Unforced Errors
1526
Net Points Won
40% (2/5)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
74% (42/57)64% (37/58)
Return Points Won
36% (21/58)26% (15/57)
Total Points Won
55% (63/115)45% (52/115)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
62.6%
Daniil Medvedev
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.
  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Medvedev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.69)

    2.53
    (2.17)
    5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev?
  • Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorenzo Musetti will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Musetti will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
    16.08.2023 Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev 0:2
    10.08.2023 Lorenzo Musetti - Daniil Medvedev 0:2
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Navone M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (LL)Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5Cerundolo F. (17)Bye
    6Gaston H.Jarry N.0 : 2
    7Carballes Baena R. (RET.)Ofner S. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeTiafoe F. (15)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Barrios Vera T. (Q)Munar J.1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeKorda S. (22)
    13Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    14Fearnley J.Fognini F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bublik A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    16ByeRuud C. (6)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Diallo G.Giron M.1 : 2
    19Bellucci M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    20ByeHurkacz H. (30)
    21Mensik J. (20)Bye
    22Rinderknech A.Gigante M. (WC)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Fonseca J.2 : 0
    24ByeRublev A. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Arnaldi M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    27Tien L.Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    28ByeMachac T. (19)
    29Dellien H. (LL)Bye
    30Borges N.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)1 : 2
    31Nardi L. (WC)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Bu Y.Darderi L.0 : 2
    35Kopriva V. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    36ByeBaez S. (32)
    37Humbert U. (21)Bye
    38Hijikata R.Moutet C.1 : 2
    39Altmaier D.Comesana F.0 : 2
    40ByeRune H. (9)
    41Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    42Passaro F. (WC)Tseng C. H. (Q)2 : 1
    43Sonego L.Burruchaga R. A. (Q)0 : 2
    44ByeKhachanov K. (23)
    45Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    46Djere L.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    47Nishioka Y.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeAlcaraz C. (3)
    49Musetti L. (8)Bye
    50Medjedovic H.Virtanen O. (Q)0 : 2
    51Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    52ByeNakashima B. (28)
    53Popyrin A. (24)Bye
    54Taberner C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    55O'Connell C.Norrie C. (LL)0 : 2
    56ByeMedvedev D. (10)
    57Fils A. (13)Bye
    58Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    59Lehecka J.Muller A.1 : 2
    60ByeTsitsipas S. (18)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Gaubas V. (Q)Dzumhur D.2 : 1
    63Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno-Busta P. (LL)2 : 1
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2De Jong J.Davidovich Fokina A. (25)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (17)Jarry N.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Tiafoe F. (15)2 : 1
    5Shelton B. (12)Munar J.0 : 2
    6Vukic A.Korda S. (22)0 : 2
    7Berrettini M. (29)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Ruud C. (6)1 : 2
    9Fritz T. (4)Giron M.0 : 2
    10Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (30)0 : 2
    11Mensik J. (20)Gigante M.2 : 0
    12Marozsan F.Rublev A. (16)2 : 1
    13Paul T. (11)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Machac T. (19)0 : 2
    15Dellien H.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Nardi L.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    17Draper J. (5)Darderi L.2 : 0
    18Kopriva V.Baez S. (32)2 : 1
    19Humbert U. (RET.) (21)Moutet C.0 : 1
    20Comesana F.Rune H. (9)1 : 2
    21Dimitrov G. (14)Passaro F.0 : 2
    22Burruchaga R. A.Khachanov K. (23)1 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (31)Djere L.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    25Musetti L. (8)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    26Thompson J.Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27Popyrin A. (24)Taberner C.2 : 0
    28Norrie C.Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (13)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    30Muller A.Tsitsipas S. (18)0 : 2
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Gaubas V.0 : 2
    32Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F. (17)Ofner S.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Korda S. (22)2 : 0
    4Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)Ruud C. (6)0 : 1
    5Giron M.Hurkacz H. (30)1 : 2
    6Mensik J. (20)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Paul T. (11)Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    8Dellien H.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Rune H. (9)2 : 1
    11Passaro F.Khachanov K. (23)0 : 2
    12Djere L.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    13Musetti L. (8)Nakashima B. (28)2 : 0
    14Popyrin A. (24)Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (13)Tsitsipas S. (18)2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cerundolo F. (17)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (6)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (30)Mensik J. (20)2 : 1
    4Paul T. (11)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    5Draper J. (5)Moutet C.2 : 1
    6Khachanov K. (23)Alcaraz C. (3)1 : 2
    7Musetti L. (8)Medvedev D. (10)2 : 0
    8Fils A. (13)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (6)2 : 0
    2Hurkacz H. (30)Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    3Draper J. (5)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    4Musetti L. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Paul T. (11)2 : 1
    2Alcaraz C. (3)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2