Result
2:0
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | Eurosport 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (38/49) | 70% (37/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 67% (4/6) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 205 km/h | 195 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 154 km/h | 157 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (16/53) | 22% (11/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 42% (10/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 33% (1/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 89% (8/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (52/73) | 64% (47/73) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (26/73) | 29% (21/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (78/146) | 47% (68/146) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Jack Draper
61.7% | Lorenzo Musetti
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.51) |
|
2.49 ↓
(2.62) |
4.5%
(4.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Musetti will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 49.5% – 80.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Musetti (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -4.5 Games - Musetti (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4 Games - Musetti (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Musetti (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Musetti (votes: 13 - 72.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Musetti is ranked ATP: 11.
- Draper is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Musetti is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Draper could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Draper won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jack Draper won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Jack Draper has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Jack Draper?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
26.10.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Jack Draper
0:2
08.11.2023
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Jack Draper
0:2
10.11.2022
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Jack Draper
0:3
Latest results of Jack Draper
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (RET.) (32) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (WO.) (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Moller E. | |
| 2 | Norrie C. (19) | Tirante T. A. | |
| 3 | Kopriva V. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (27) | Jodar R. | |
| 5 | Prizmic D. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 6 | Fils A. (21) | Nava E. | |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (11) | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 12 | Blockx A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (7) | Budkov Kjaer N. | |
| 14 | Vallejo D. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (13) | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 16 | Atmane T. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
