Los Angeles Galaxy vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United
Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.59
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
88% (503/569)85% (322/380)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.31
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2128
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
88% (503/569)85% (322/380)
Long passes
47% (22/47)40% (12/30)
Passes in final third
73% (82/112)73% (89/122)
Crosses
13% (2/15)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.60
Throw-ins
1013
Fouls
1412
Tackles
74% (14/19)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
1015
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.311.85
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 41', Duggan M. , Boxall M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. ,
  • 61', Triantis N. 🟨,
  • 65', Trapp W. , Gene O. ,
  • 65', Triantis N. , Dotson H. ,
  • 67', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 74', Matheus Nascimento , Yamane M. ,
  • 77', Lod R. , Fitz D. ,
  • 78', Diaz J. , Yeboah K. ,
  • 79', Romero N. 🟨,
  • 81', Cuevas M. , Zavaleta E. ,
  • 82', Wynder E. , Berry M. ,
  • 89', Paintsil J. , Lepley T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Hlongwane B. ,
  • 90+6', Dotson H. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Cerrillo E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
37.2%
Draw
26.2%
Minnesota United
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 26.3% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.85)
    3.64
    (3.55)
    2.58
    (2.29)
    5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Minnesota is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Miller H. (International duty) Paintsil J. (International duty) Parente I. (Yellow Cards) Puig R. (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Harvey C. (Leg Injury) Yeboah K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Ramirez C. (Lower-Body Injury) Reus M. (Thigh Injury) Sanabria L. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:32. (average 2.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:16. (average 3.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
    24.11.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United 6:2
    07.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United 2:1
    15.05.2024 Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
    07.10.2023 Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy 5:2
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2