Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (503/569) | 85% (322/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (503/569) | 85% (322/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 40% (12/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (82/112) | 73% (89/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ⚽,
- 41', Duggan M. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽,
- 61', Triantis N. 🟨,
- 65', Trapp W. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
- 65', Triantis N. ↓, Dotson H. ↑,
- 67', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
- 74', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Yamane M. ↑,
- 77', Lod R. ↓, Fitz D. ↑,
- 78', Diaz J. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
- 79', Romero N. 🟨,
- 81', Cuevas M. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
- 82', Wynder E. ↓, Berry M. ↑,
- 89', Paintsil J. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Hlongwane B. ⚽,
- 90+6', Dotson H. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Angeles Galaxy
37.2% | Draw
26.2% | Minnesota United
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.85) |
3.64 ↑
(3.55) |
2.58 ↑
(2.29) |
5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Minnesota is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in LA Galaxy: Miller H.
(International duty)
Paintsil J.
(International duty)
Parente I.
(Yellow Cards)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Minnesota: Harvey C.
(Leg Injury)
Yeboah K.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Ramirez C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reus M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanabria L.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:32. (average 2.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:16. (average 3.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Minnesota United?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Minnesota United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United were as follows:
22.03.2025
Minnesota United
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
2:2
24.11.2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Minnesota United
6:2
07.07.2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Minnesota United
2:1
15.05.2024
Minnesota United
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
2:2
07.10.2023
Minnesota United
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
5:2
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
Latest results of Minnesota United
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
