Los Angeles vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chileChileTNT Sports
chinaChinaQQ Sports
ecuadorEcuadorTNT
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Sports
paraguayParaguayTNT
peruPeruTNT
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaTNT
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.01
Total shots
153
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
281
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
79
Passes
90% (562/626)88% (463/529)
Long passes
42% (14/33)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
77% (114/149)75% (88/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.23
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
97
Tackles
47% (7/15)42% (8/19)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.010.98
Goals prevented
0.01-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Segura E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Choiniere M. 🟨,
  • 65', Hollingshead R. , Smolyakov A. ,
  • 65', Choiniere M. , Moran A. ,
  • 72', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 72', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 78', Gregersen S. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 83', Segura E. , Ebobisse J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ,
  • 88', Delgado M. , Amaya F. ,
  • 90+1', Alzate S. , Leo Afonso ,
  • 90+1', Hernandez R. , Togashi C. ,
  • 90+3', Slisz B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles
70.3%
Draw
16.9%
Atlanta United
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.1% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.68)
    5.55
    (4)
    7.37
    (4.45)
    5.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Los Angeles (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Los Angeles (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.06%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Los Angeles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Los Angeles is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Brennan L. (International duty) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Reilly W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles - Atlanta United were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Atlanta United - Los Angeles 0:1
    07.06.2023 Los Angeles - Atlanta United 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)