Alianza Atlético vs Los Chankas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.98
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
68% (192/282)	61% (161/265)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.65	0.54
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
19	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
18	21
Passes
68% (192/282)	61% (161/265)
Long passes
41% (24/58)	27% (22/83)
Passes in final third
49% (52/106)	48% (38/79)
Crosses
30% (10/33)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.42	0.21
Throw-ins
24	13
Fouls
21	18
Tackles
56% (5/9)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
54	64
Clearances
24	33
Interceptions
3	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.54	0.65
Goals prevented
0.54	-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
60', Vasquez C. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
60', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
66', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
77', Guzman P. 🟨,
77', Olmedo L. 🟨,
79', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
80', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
80', Benincasa H. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Villegas J. C. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
86', Olmedo L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
89', Quintana A. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑,
89', Mogollon E. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
89', Takeuchi O. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
90+2', Illanes F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Alianza Atlético
66%

Draw
21.8%

Los Chankas
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)	4.43 ↑ (3.9)	8.28 ↑ (4.6)	7% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Los Chankas has had a series of away games.
In this match, Alianza Atlético is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury) Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Los Chankas?

Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Alianza Atlético?

Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas were as follows:

01.06.2025 Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético 1:2

28.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas 1:0

19.05.2024 Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético 2:0

Latest results of Alianza Atlético

05.10.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético 2:4 ✺

01.10.2025 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 0:2 ✺

26.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 1:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho 3:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Los Chankas

04.10.2025 Los Chankas - Cusco 2:1 ✺

29.09.2025 Cajamarca - Los Chankas 2:0 ✺

25.09.2025 Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal Postponed ✺

21.09.2025 FBC Melgar - Los Chankas 6:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Los Chankas - Alianza Lima Postponed ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	12	9	3	0	23:8	15	30
2	Cusco	12	7	2	3	19:11	8	23
3	AD Tarma	13	6	3	4	17:17	0	21
4	Sporting Cristal	11	5	4	2	20:8	12	19
5	FBC Melgar	13	4	6	3	18:13	5	18
6	Alianza Lima	12	5	3	4	18:14	4	18
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	4	6	2	16:16	0	18
8	Alianza Atl	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
9	Comerciantes Unidos	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
10	Sport Huancayo	13	4	3	6	23:22	1	15
11	Cienciano	11	4	3	4	16:15	1	15
12	Grau	12	4	3	5	16:15	1	15
13	Los Chankas	11	5	0	6	14:24	-10	15
14	Alianza Huanuco	12	4	1	7	14:24	-10	13
15	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
16	Juan Pablo II	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
17	Ayacucho	12	3	2	7	10:19	-9	11
18	Cajamarca	11	1	3	7	9:16	-7	6
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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