Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/10/2025 at  16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
 
                                                - Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.98 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (192/282) | 61% (161/265) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.98 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.54 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 19 | 10 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 21 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (192/282) | 61% (161/265) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 27% (22/83) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 49% (52/106) | 48% (38/79) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 10% (1/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.21 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 24 | 13 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 21 | 18 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (5/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 54 | 64 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 24 | 33 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 3 | 13 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.65 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.35 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 56', Gonzalez H. 🟨, 
 - 60', Vasquez C. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑, 
 - 60', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez J. ↑, 
 - 66', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨, 
 - 77', Guzman P. 🟨, 
 - 77', Olmedo L. 🟨, 
 - 79', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑, 
 - 80', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑, 
 - 80', Benincasa H. ↓, Cossio A. ↑, 
 - 82', 1 - 0, Villegas J. C. ⚽, Castro R. (A), 
 - 86', Olmedo L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑, 
 - 89', Quintana A. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑, 
 - 89', Mogollon E. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑, 
 - 89', Takeuchi O. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑, 
 - 90+2', Illanes F. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Alianza Atlético  66% | Draw  21.8% | Los Chankas  12.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.44 ↓ (1.65) | 
			   4.32 ↑ (3.9) | 
			   7.54 ↑ (4.6) | 
			   6% (8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3.
 - Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
 - Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
 - Recently, Los Chankas has had a series of away games.
  - In this match, Alianza Atlético is the clear favorite.
 - There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
                            Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
                             Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.06.2025 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.10.2024 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Los Chankas 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.05.2024 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Atlético                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Los Chankas                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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