Result
4:1
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Flores G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/413) | 64% (183/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/413) | 64% (183/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (69/124) | 42% (40/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
- 32', McFadden A. 🟨,
- 38', Maldonado M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Totsch S. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 47', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
- 62', 3 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
- 69', Adams K. 🟨,
- 69', Pedro Becker 🟨,
- 76', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
- 76', Craig P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
- 81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 81', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 82', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 86', Anderson O. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Davila E. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
- 89', McFadden A. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
- 90', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
62.1% | Draw
21.9% | North Carolina
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Louisville City - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
4.24 ↑
(4.07) |
5.76 ↑
(5.48) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
- Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against North Carolina?
Louisville City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Louisville City?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - North Carolina were as follows:
29.06.2025
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
1:0
20.06.2025
North Carolina
-
Louisville City
2:1
02.11.2024
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
3:2
31.08.2024
North Carolina
-
Louisville City
4:6
08.06.2024
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
2:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
