Result
4:1
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Flores G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.83 | 1.11 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Passes |
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76% (312/413) | 64% (183/285) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.83 | 1.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.79 | 1.39 |
Total shots |
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14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 9 |
Passes |
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76% (312/413) | 64% (183/285) |
Long passes |
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35% (23/66) | 29% (23/79) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (69/124) | 42% (40/95) |
Crosses |
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40% (8/20) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.44 | 0.92 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 25 |
Fouls |
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9 | 9 |
Tackles |
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100% (7/7) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
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50 | 33 |
Clearances |
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22 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.39 | 2.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.39 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
- 32', McFadden A. 🟨,
- 38', Maldonado M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Totsch S. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 47', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
- 62', 3 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
- 69', Adams K. 🟨,
- 69', Pedro Becker 🟨,
- 76', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
- 76', Craig P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
- 81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 81', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 82', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 86', Anderson O. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Davila E. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
- 89', McFadden A. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
- 90', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City 62.1% | Draw 21.9% | North Carolina 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Louisville City - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.53) |
4.24 ↑ (4.07) |
5.76 ↑ (5.48) |
8% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
- Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against North Carolina?
Louisville City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Louisville City?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - North Carolina were as follows:
29.06.2025
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
1:0
20.06.2025
North Carolina
-
Louisville City
2:1
02.11.2024
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
3:2
31.08.2024
North Carolina
-
Louisville City
4:6
08.06.2024
Louisville City
-
North Carolina
2:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )