Louisville City vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Louisville City - North Carolina
Result
4:1
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Flores G. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.11
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
76% (312/413)64% (183/285)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.791.39
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
99
Passes
76% (312/413)64% (183/285)
Long passes
35% (23/66)29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
56% (69/124)42% (40/95)
Crosses
40% (8/20)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.92
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
99
Tackles
100% (7/7)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.392.79
Goals prevented
0.39-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
  • 32', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 38', Maldonado M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Totsch S. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
  • 47', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
  • 69', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 69', Pedro Becker 🟨,
  • 76', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
  • 76', Craig P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
  • 81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
  • 81', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 82', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
  • 86', Anderson O. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Davila E. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
  • 89', McFadden A. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
  • 90', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
  • 90', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
62.1%		Draw
21.9%		North Carolina
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 22.7% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 21.4% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    Louisville City - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.53)    		 4.24 ↑
    (4.07)    		 5.76 ↑
    (5.48)    		 8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
    • Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - North Carolina were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0
    20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1
    02.11.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 3:2
    31.08.2024 North Carolina - Louisville City 4:6
    08.06.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    29.07.2025 Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:5
    26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2
    19.07.2025 Louisville City - Tulsa 1:1
    04.07.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City 0:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0
    Latest results of North Carolina
    26.07.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:1
    18.07.2025 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 4:2
    11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3 ✺
    06.07.2025 Charleston Battery - North Carolina 1:0 ✺
    29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 26196152:193363
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh26107926:24237
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven26951240:45-532
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay26761335:42-727
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 26138541:291247
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico261241036:34240
    4San Antonio25107834:31337
    5El Paso2699842:38436
    6Lexington2698928:32-435
    7Phoenix Rising26712745:47-233
    8Colorado Springs26871133:39-631
    9Orange County SC25861138:41-330
    10Monterey Bay27771326:37-1128
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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