Result
3:0
25/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ⚽,
- 26', Alba T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Haro P. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez B. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 46', Presa K. ↓, Perera A. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Perez E. ⚽,
- 60', Perera A. 🟨,
- 66', de Jesus B. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
- 66', Mandiang S. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
- 69', Alba T. ↓, Aday ↑,
- 72', Perez E. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
- 72', Molina E. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
- 74', Jose Amo 🟨,
- 76', Naveira U. 🟨,
- 82', Dufur U. 🟨,
- 83', Balboa A. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 86', Lopez O. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Castillo I. ⚽,
- 90+5', Lopez I. 🟥,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
46.3% | Draw
29.5% | Lugo
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Barakaldo - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.86) |
3.08 ↓
(3.23) |
3.78 ↓
(3.98) |
9.5%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Lugo?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Barakaldo?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Lugo were as follows:
31.10.2025
Lugo
-
Barakaldo
2:2
09.03.2025
Barakaldo
-
Lugo
3:2
15.09.2024
Lugo
-
Barakaldo
0:0
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
