Result
1:5
14/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 18', 1 - 0, Sousa A. ⚽, Mota (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Josue Sa ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Tokinho Doria ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 44', 1 - 3, Tiago Dias ⚽, Collard D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 4, Pereira M. ⚽,
- 61', Francisco Ramos ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 61', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 61', Fernandinho ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 62', Arsenio ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 74', Sousa A. ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 74', Mota 🟨,
- 76', Silverio 🟨,
- 80', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 80', Fabinho ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 80', Silva V. 🟨,
- 81', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 81', Tiago Dias ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 85', Rafael 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 5, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 89', Pereira M. ↓, Manel ↑,
- 90', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
30.8% | Draw
30.2% | Lusitânia
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
3.08 ↓
(3.29) |
2.39 ↑
(2.24) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lusitânia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 9).
- Paços de Ferreira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lusitânia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Lusitânia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia were as follows:
30.07.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Lusitânia
0:1
29.07.2023
Lusitânia
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
