Result
1:5
14/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 18', 1 - 0, Sousa A. ⚽, Mota (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Josue Sa ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Tokinho Doria ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 44', 1 - 3, Tiago Dias ⚽, Collard D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 4, Pereira M. ⚽,
- 61', Francisco Ramos ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 61', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 61', Fernandinho ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 62', Arsenio ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 74', Sousa A. ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 74', Mota 🟨,
- 76', Silverio 🟨,
- 80', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 80', Fabinho ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 80', Silva V. 🟨,
- 81', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 81', Tiago Dias ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 85', Rafael 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 5, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 89', Pereira M. ↓, Manel ↑,
- 90', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
30.8% | Draw
30.2% | Lusitânia
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
3.08 ↓
(3.29) |
2.39 ↑
(2.24) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 9).
- Paços de Ferreira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lusitânia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Lusitânia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia were as follows:
30.07.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Lusitânia
0:1
29.07.2023
Lusitânia
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:9 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 29:18 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Chaves | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Vizela | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Leiria | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Torreense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | SC Farense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | Penafiel | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Felgueiras | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Feirense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | Leixoes | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 16 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
